Quote:They want to feed him 20-30 times a game. If you hit the median that's 25 times a game. Say he hits that number that puts him at 400 carries this season. Say he averages 4ypc that would put him at 1600 yards. Now I'm not saying this is realistic but I see him getting about 300-320 carries and about 1200-1400 yards depending on his ypc.

 

Ezekiel Elliot lead the league in carries last year with 322.  Next highest was LeGarrette Blount with 299.  The all time record is 416 by Larry Johnson in 2006.  In 2014 Demarco Murray had 392 and was useless the next year.  He went from 1845 yards and a 4.7 average to 702 yards and a 3.6 average.  He went from 13 touchdowns to 6.  Of course, some of this had to do with going from the Cowboys to the Eagles.

 

Still, if you run Fournette 320 times as a rookie, he might have a very short career.  250 is a nice number and he could still hit your target.

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