Quote:You're using a very limited sample size there JackCity, compared to the stats in the original article.


I take your point that in second and third round RBs also work out well, but the more you narrow down the range of your stats the greater the chance some outstanding 2nd and 3rd round picks skew the figures.


But whichever way you view the stats, you stand a better chance of getting a productive running back if you pick him in the first round. Not really a surprise, you're going to find that for all positions.

Actually, the article used a narrow sample of 'over 1000 yard rushers', which have drastically decreased over the last ten years anyway due to RB by committee. Of course guys in the first round are much more likely to have that situation especially going back that far (1994, which was a very different league).

 

Going by YPC is a much better stat and comparing it to round you can see that guys in the first are no more likely to be superstars than guys in the 2nd , 3rd, or even 6th over the last 10 years. What does that mean? That in general 1st round RBs aren't worth it anymore.

 

If Del Ricco only used the last ten years, then it might be valid, but going that far back, to when 3k was a good season for a QB and RB's routinely hit 1k yards is just not comparable. The league is just not the same now as in the 90's. Anyone can see that. If Leonard Fournette doesn't average over 4.5 YPC on like 250 carries a year for over 5 years, he was a mistake. 

 

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