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Acceptable sack number for Travon Walker assuming he starts most of the year?

#63

(07-27-2022, 09:10 AM)NYC4jags Wrote:
(07-27-2022, 08:38 AM)ChrisJagBoy Wrote: Depends how you look at it honestly. I think (not basing this on actual stats, just what I remember personally) ...

Basing it on actual stats:

Most QBs who are not in the elite percentage of "under pressure pass completion" will dip between 10% and 20 % in their completion percentage while under pressure. 

For instance, Matt Ryan, who we now face twice a year in our division, saw his completion percentage drop by 11% when pressured in 2021 - and that actually placed him in the top ten as one of the best under pressure. 

There may only be 4 or 5 QBs on our schedule this season who will not suffer a 12% (and often much greater) reduction in completion percentage when pressured. 

That amount of incompletions will absolutely affect the scoreboard in most of those games.

Pressures are good, they are effective, and dismissing them is a fools errand.

Anecdotes about a former 1st round pick pass rusher turned journeyman rotational guy who has had 2 good seasons out of eight years in the league don't tell us anything about the effect pressures have on quarterbacks league wide.

I agree and would even go a little further to point out that pressures help more than just lowering the quarterback's completion percentage.  I don't think it is hard for even the untrained eye to see that interceptions occur much more frequently when the quarterback is under pressure versus when they have all day to throw.

Also, all completions are not equal.  If a defense quickly puts pressure on the quarterback, maybe he gets a "completion", but it's a dump off to a player for a loss or for short yardage on 3rd and long.  Even if it is first down, a quick pressure often means a short completion while no pressure might have meant a big play.  Forcing the other team into dinking and dunking is a good thing.  Make the other team work for their scores.

For the record, I do prefer a sack to a pressure, but ideally would want both to be high.  I also recognize that sacks, pressures, and almost any NFL stat can be misleading depending upon the circumstances.
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RE: Acceptable sack number for Travon Walker assuming he starts most of the year? - by TheDuke007 - 07-28-2022, 09:09 PM



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