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Josh Allen - Deal or No Deal (Done Deal!)
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(04-11-2024, 08:45 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote:(04-11-2024, 07:46 AM)Mikey Wrote: give it time, I am sure someone will find a way to get arrested Oh I'm sure we made an offer and the tacks grossly overbid where we couldn't (or wouldn't) attempt to keep up. I dunno if the tag was ever an option, though, from a fiscal standpoint. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (04-11-2024, 12:56 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote:Thank you!(04-11-2024, 12:22 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: I honestly think I don't know whether or not his agent wanted to see what the market bore out before doing anything. (04-11-2024, 01:09 PM)NYC4jags Wrote:He should have paid Allen last off season which would have resulted in saving the Jags millions.(04-11-2024, 12:56 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: I didn't say start at the number, but it was clear we would end up somewhere near there. I'm still hung up on the "we're going to start talk sometime soon" thing at the presser that was 3 weeks later than all the other GMs in the league held one. Everything about Baalke is him making things more difficult than they need to be. (04-11-2024, 09:11 AM)MikePete54 Wrote:(04-11-2024, 07:41 AM)Mikey Wrote: ...wait, I thought he was incompetent? no, but there are some on here that think he can do no right. Not sure how we can say 'good job Baalke' if others are saying he's a snake in rat's clothing. I agree with you, he did fine here, as he has in other deals. The fact that we AREN'T setting the market is a good sign that we're keeping the deal realistic enough that the player and team alike can reasonably expect to play out the full length of the agreement. We've come a long way from greasepaint, at least in the eyes of most. (04-11-2024, 10:04 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote:(04-11-2024, 09:52 AM)snarkyguy_he_him_his Wrote: Those players mean when they're still playing. Josh was done for a while at that point So guy who is consistent in how he operates is amazing? Seems to me like the team had a plan. The tag takes away urgency. We had time to work out a deal that worked for everyone, while also affording us time and resources to focus on the other signings that didn't have the same luxury of drawing out the particulars of an offer. In both instances, we retained guys who we absolutely couldn't afford to lose. Maybe that's the amazing thing - we're actually getting good guys, and keeping them. (04-11-2024, 10:17 AM)RicoTx Wrote:(04-11-2024, 10:15 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: Folks still just assuming Allen's agent ever had any intention of signing a deal prior to letting the 2024 edge market play out, I see. ...then it's Baalke's fault that he didn't make something good happen sooner? I think I'm learning. (04-11-2024, 01:11 PM)Cleatwood Wrote:(04-11-2024, 12:56 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: I didn't say start at the number, but it was clear we would end up somewhere near there. I'm still hung up on the "we're going to start talk sometime soon" thing at the presser that was 3 weeks later than all the other GMs in the league held one. Everything about Baalke is him making things more difficult than they need to be.Thank you! Then why weren't you and all the others gnashing your teeth over it now doing so back then? The reality is that most of the ppl losing their minds over the timing of this deal were on the fence about his value at the end of 2022. The debate here over the value of pressures despite inconsistent sack numbers has waged on for years as we watched Allen work his way toward "elite pass rusher" status. If you were one of the 4 or 5 fans around here that wanted to pay him last offseason - good for you. Most were content to wait. The vast majority seemed adamant about not paying him more than peanuts and many others wanted to upgrade his spot. The Jags added seven notable free agents that offseason, and it is likely they opted for a strategy of adding talent over extending Allen at that time. Turned out pretty well as that talent put them in the playoffs for only the second time in 12 years. Of course this position of yours also assumes Allen and his agent would have taken a deal commensurate with his 2022 performance at that time. Maybe they would have. Maybe they'd have bet on the player outperforming that offer. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
04-11-2024, 01:40 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-11-2024, 01:41 PM by Cleatwood. Edited 1 time in total.)
(04-11-2024, 01:31 PM)NYC4jags Wrote:I was because it was clear Allen was an elite talent. Set the market instead of being the team that has to continually "one up" the team that did set the market.(04-11-2024, 01:11 PM)Cleatwood Wrote: Thank you! This is also why I am very adamant about signing Trevor long term right now because if Baalke waits, it will likely result in having to pay a crazy number next summer. It is what it is at this point. Glad Allen is paid and will be a Jaguar for a while.
(04-11-2024, 10:04 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote:(04-11-2024, 09:52 AM)snarkyguy_he_him_his Wrote: Those players mean when they're still playing. Josh was done for a while at that point Cam as well. (04-11-2024, 12:00 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote:(04-11-2024, 11:35 AM)NewJagsCity Wrote: Agree with this, and i actually dont think we were that interested in Ridley moving forward. Tagging Allen initially instead of Ridley seems to bear this out. We must have seen something in season that we didnt like. I think the signing backfires on the Tacks. I certainly do believe that if we put the agreed offer on the table before FA began any agent worth his salt would have told him to wait to see how the market plays out. Given the choice of the two, I am much happier that we chose not to risk losing Allen over Ridley. Do you not think that the FO considered the possibility of losing either guy, replacing either guy, and chose the most prudent avenue? If we REALLY wanted Ridley, would you think that sacrificing the second round pick was too steep a price for us to make our BAFO while he was still able to negotiate exclusively? Why fart around with a tag in that case, either? Tells me they were willing to risk the loss, or were prepared to replace him via other avenues if someone chose to grossly overbid our offer. We weren't hoodwinked. We knew full well what the probable outcomes would be.
(04-11-2024, 01:31 PM)NYC4jags Wrote:(04-11-2024, 01:11 PM)Cleatwood Wrote: Thank you! I don't feel like I'm gnashing my teeth, I just have criticism over how Baalke goes about his work. I wonder how many people will feel like I do if they pick up TLaw's 5th year and then Tag him without attempting to negotiate a contract extension first? Based on social media about half of the population thinks they should move on right now anyway, so nothing will surprise me. (04-11-2024, 01:47 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote:(04-11-2024, 10:04 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote: The time from the last game until free agency starts is an exclusive access period for negotiations. It amazes me that he waited on both Engram and Allen in consecutive years. Yep, you're right. 3 times now he's forced the Tag when it likely wasn't needed. It'll make an interesting psych study some day. “An empty vessel makes the loudest sound, so they that have the least wit are the greatest babblers.”. - Plato
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(04-11-2024, 01:51 PM)Mikey Wrote:(04-11-2024, 12:00 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: This feels like the rationalization of a scorned woman. It's much more plausible that Baalke followed his own historical behavior pattern and didn't talk to Allen before tagging him thinking that Ridley would hang around and re-sign in free agency. And I'm not saying that was the opening offer, I'm saying the process simply could've gotten there sooner, but you don't know if you don't even pick up the phone to the guy to get started. Instead Trent likes to toss out the Tag, which to me seems like an unnecessary flex to slap on players you really want to keep. “An empty vessel makes the loudest sound, so they that have the least wit are the greatest babblers.”. - Plato
(04-11-2024, 01:16 PM)Mikey Wrote:(04-11-2024, 09:11 AM)MikePete54 Wrote: Did I ever said that ? Oh Ok. Baalke is not very popular here, but he has done a good job to me. Our offseason is pretty good actually, but the most important is coming with the draft. I read a lot of speculations on this board, as if people were in the office... The Josh Allen deal is a good one and well deserved. I also think that will give Walker some more motivation to perform at a high level to get this kind of deal too.
(04-11-2024, 02:02 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote:(04-11-2024, 01:51 PM)Mikey Wrote: I certainly do believe that if we put the agreed offer on the table before FA began any agent worth his salt would have told him to wait to see how the market plays out. If I'm the player, you gotta pay extra for me to forgo free agency or forgo getting a glimpse of free agency if I'm tagged. The highest bids come when there are multiple bidders present. That is no secret. Kinda like selling your house. Your realtor has a buddy in his office who has a buyer who wants to see your house before it goes on the market next week. You allow him to show the property and his buyer makes a pretty good offer immediately after the showing, but the market is hot and there are already 15 scheduled showings the day your property is scheduled to hit the market and most homes are getting multiple offers on the first day. That pre-listing offer better be beyond my expectations of what I'd get in the market to accept it without letting the property actually hit the market. Maybe that's just me.
04-11-2024, 02:47 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-11-2024, 02:49 PM by snarkyguy_he_him_his. Edited 2 times in total.)
(04-11-2024, 02:30 PM)Jaguarmeister Wrote:(04-11-2024, 02:02 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: And I'm not saying that was the opening offer, I'm saying the process simply could've gotten there sooner, but you don't know if you don't even pick up the phone to the guy to get started. Instead Trent likes to toss out the Tag, which to me seems like an unnecessary flex to slap on players you really want to keep. He knew he was getting paid, by us or another team... a bidding war wasn't necessary, 17.5 sacks and his pressure rate soeak for themselves. Nor do I think he wanted a drawn out process that would come with that but that's just speculation We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
Why do some people think that if a team offers a team friendly early extension a player will automatically sign it?
Players and agents are also considering the best time to negotiate a deal based on when they think they will have highest possible market value. If they believe they are still getting better and that waiting another season to sign a new deal would be to their financial advantage, why would the sign early. Of course every team would love to ink a deal right before a player's break out season. That doesn't mean the player and their agent are in any rush to start negotiating a new contract. Why would Allen want to negotiate a long term extension coming off a 7 sack season?
(04-11-2024, 04:57 PM)Predator Wrote: Why do some people think that if a team offers a team friendly early extension a player will automatically sign it? And it worked because he got Burns money. If that Burns trade didn't happen Allen would of gotten less. I think he was going initially going to get Watts contract, or just beat it like we did Burns and then Burns got his so we had to cough up that money. If you look at Allen's and Burns contracts they are pretty much the same contract. Joe Schoen did all the hard work and Baalke just pretty much copied it. I think Burns is a really good player but Allen is a tier above imo. (04-11-2024, 05:14 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote:(04-11-2024, 04:57 PM)Predator Wrote: Why do some people think that if a team offers a team friendly early extension a player will automatically sign it? If they were basing Allen's contract off of what Burns got, then I'm surprised it was so similar because I think most people would consider Allen a tier above Burns, and typically the better player would look at a what the lesser player's contract and negotiate with the expectation of it being x percentage larger. I think Allen was very reasonable by not demanding his contract be significantly larger than Burns.
(04-11-2024, 01:10 PM)Mikey Wrote:(04-11-2024, 08:45 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote: The tag makes it much more likely for sure. Whether or not we would use it is an unknown. Maybe they just weren't happy with Ridley and didn't care to keep him, but it didn't seem way based on how they acted. I think they just got snookered by the tittians. He wasn't worth coming anywhere close to the Titans' offer. He's not a true #1.
"I am only an average man, but by George, I work harder at it than the average man." - Teddy Roosevelt
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(04-11-2024, 08:41 PM)Predator Wrote:(04-11-2024, 05:14 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: And it worked because he got Burns money. If that Burns trade didn't happen Allen would of gotten less. I think he was going initially going to get Watts contract, or just beat it like we did Burns and then Burns got his so we had to cough up that money. If you look at Allen's and Burns contracts they are pretty much the same contract. Joe Schoen did all the hard work and Baalke just pretty much copied it. I think Burns is a really good player but Allen is a tier above imo. Go look at the 2, they are almost identical. I think Allen is better but Burns has more career sacks and Giants overpaid a bit. I'd put Allen and Hunter as the same level player and he got more than Hunter and also more than Watt, which Allen isn't better than Watt. We had all the leverage, it was take our highest offer or play on the tag and risk injury and 88 mil guaranteed. He did the smart thing and take the huge contract and it worked out for both side. Don't be a Yannick and lose many millions (04-11-2024, 09:05 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote:(04-11-2024, 08:41 PM)Predator Wrote: If they were basing Allen's contract off of what Burns got, then I'm surprised it was so similar because I think most people would consider Allen a tier above Burns, and typically the better player would look at a what the lesser player's contract and negotiate with the expectation of it being x percentage larger. You can't really look at Watt's contract and compare. That contract is from 2021. His would have dwarfed everyone else's contracts if he were negotiating it in 2024. His guaranteed money and yearly average isn't that much less than what Allen got and that was before 4 years of inflation.
(04-11-2024, 09:28 PM)Predator Wrote:(04-11-2024, 09:05 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: Go look at the 2, they are almost identical. I think Allen is better but Burns has more career sacks and Giants overpaid a bit. I'd put Allen and Hunter as the same level player and he got more than Hunter and also more than Watt, which Allen isn't better than Watt. You can still look at it but thats why guys like Burns and Allen are making more. Garrett signed his 4 years ago and got 100 mil guaranteed which is still more than what Allen and Burns got. Parsons will likely sign a deal that will be equal to Bosa's To me its Watt, Bosa, Garrett, and Parsons in the top tier, and then teir 2 you have guys like Allen, Hunter, and Crosby. If Allen has another year this year like he did last year he can join that top tier. |
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