(03-02-2020, 04:24 PM)mikesez Wrote:

(03-02-2020, 03:09 PM)jagibelieve Wrote: I somewhat agree.  However, I think that much of Bernie Sanders' following is mostly the younger, "less experienced" voting bloc or those that just can't stand President Trump.  I don't think many "traditional" democrats would vote for him including my parents (lifelong democrats).

I saw an interview on FOX Business this morning with a small business owner in Texas.  He was a middle aged Hispanic man that owns and runs a Barbecue restaurant in a blue area of Texas.  He says that business for him has been very good over the last 3 years and even though he is a democrat he said that he likes what President Trump has done for the area and has his vote.  A few of his customers (also Hispanic if it matters) shared the same feelings.  The biggest thing that they talked about was the possibility of the "Green New Deal" and how it would kill jobs in the area.

The other thing to think about is the large Cuban community in South Florida.  They will not vote for somebody that praises Castro.

If Bernie is the nominee, Florida is not in play.  Has nothing to do with Cubans.  Has everything to do with black voters and retired voters.  Bernie has a chance to win the presidency because he might flip PA, OH, and MI.  But he won't flip FL.  Biden could flip Florida.

That said, I'm married into a S FL Cuban family, and I can tell you the conventional wisdom there is becoming less true.  The ones who came over before about 1990 seem to be very loyal to the Republican party, but the ones who came after are not loyal to either party.  It seems to have to do with whether or not the person experienced Cuba after the Soviets cut off the fuel subsidies. The second and third generations also have little loyalty either way.  Anyhow, every cycle the number of cold war stalwarts shrinks and the second group grows.