(04-13-2020, 07:32 AM)Bullseye Wrote: Well of course a team in the top 5-10 will take a chance with Tua or Herbert.  That's the nature of the QB position.

The initial focus of the thread is trading down from 9.

I deliberately did not discuss QB possibilities because I don't think the team would trade down that far (9 into the 20s), to say nothing of the fact the original post would have become a novel had I done so.  I thought it more appropriate/likely in a "Trade down from 20" discussion.

I agree with you that Minnesota, New England, New Orleans and Green Bay are all teams that could take a QB early under the right circumstances.  Cousins is on the last year of a three year deal, and given the losses they have suffered on their once great defense and the trade of Diggs, they may be willing to start over at the position.  The Patriots let Brady walk.  The Saints and Packers have very old QBs.  While Brees and Rodgers are still effective, either or both could decline appreciably this year.  Besides, the Packers are one of those teams that are proactive in terms of addressing the QB position.  They drafted Rodgers and sat him on the bench while they still had Favre and Favre was still a viable passer.  If Pittsburgh had a first round pick this year, I would include them in the discussion, and I can't imagine them being without a first round pick in back to back years (were they to send next year's 1 to us in a deal).

My gut, based on a bunch of mock drafts and reading a bunch of analysts, is that either Tua or Hebert will be available at 9.  However, if 3 QBs are taken in the first 8 picks, that's actually really great for the Jags too.  It leaves us a pretty good choice of non-QBs, including probably Simmons or our first choice at OT or WR.  I think Hebert will still be on the board, and when another team falls in love him, well...

Glad you mentioned the Favre/Rodgers situation.  I'll bet most GMs remember it too - the smart ones, anyway.  If someone in the 20s loves Hebert, values him as worthy of the #9, AND has the draft capital, I could see a trade up happening.

BTW, had the first post been a novel, I'd still have read it.

---