Tennessee is 2 or even 1 major injuries away from dropping back to the pack. If Henry or Tannehill go down, their offense probably falls apart. Tannehill did have a run a bad luck in Miami his last few years. Henry is trying to prove history wrong with his touches over the past few years. Both Brown and Julio have had some nagging injury issues the past few years. Plus this year has 17 regular season games. And all that is still assuming they fix their holes on defense that got "patched over" last year due to their league best turnover differential that normally reverts to the mean.

Indy's whole season is banking on Wentz reverting back to a serviceable QB. It's honestly a pretty risky move, especially for a few draft picks. For example, if they had just passed on Rivers last year and not traded for Wentz, they could have easily had a high draft pick and the assets to trade up for Fields or Jones in the '21 Draft. I understand why they have gone the route they have, but again history is not on their side.

Having said all that, the Jags haven't really had that much luck in their franchise's history. Every time it seems to be there, it turns up as trap and fool's gold.

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