(10-30-2023, 10:58 AM)The Real Marty Wrote:

(10-30-2023, 10:46 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: Sure. 

You've seen me use the terms "gamble, crapshoot, risk, etc" over and over again in these RB value debates. 

They pay an entire scouting dept. and a number of execs big bucks to determine which of those early round RBs are that rare talent that trumps the lopsided positional valuation of selecting a RB early. 

And they still get it wrong half of the time. Because that's the nature of the draft. I don't like rolling the dice like that on backs until other spots I've already outlined are secured. 

The Jaguars literally chose Leonard Fournette over McCaffery. 
 Just because you are bold enough to take a highly touted back early - you aren't guaranteed to totally screw yourself and your franchise. 

I love ETN. So glad he's a Jag. 
But if he'd turned out to be like Najee Harris it would be a real shame to our roster development and that could easily have happened.

It could just as easily happen with any other position.

The replacement cost for a running back is negliable, they are mostly interchangable and you can find one on Draft Saturday or on the street if needed. Get an offensive tackle off the street and you get Guy Whimper-level bad. The Risk/Reward plus Replacement Cost make it very easy to see how draft capital should be allocated.

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(10-30-2023, 10:05 AM)Hurricane Wrote:

(10-30-2023, 07:27 AM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: It sure is a lot of "lucky" lately from you lol, everything is lucky lol.  CMC absolutely helped the Panthers and all their wins when he was there and he was their best player.  If they ever had a QB they would of made some noise in the playoffs

I'm pretty sure your comment is the point NYC is getting at with his drafting position. 

If they had a QB...
If they had edge pressure...
If they had better blocking line...
If they had a RB...
etc

How many times do you think its been said for each position to make the playoffs? I'm guessing the amount of times for a RB is quite a bit less than some of these other positions. Hence the reason they aren't given as much value.

If a team like KC needs a running back they draft one in the 7th and he performs as well as those taken on Day 1. If a team like the Falcons needs a running back they take him on Day 1 and keep losing.

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