(02-01-2022, 09:42 AM)mikesez Wrote: Think about the old rules.
From 1994 to 2010, the team that won the coin toss won 59.8% of the time, 34.4% on the first possession.
The 2010 rules change was supposed to make it harder to win on the first possession.
It didn't.
It made it easier to win on the first possession, and easier to win if you win the coin toss overall.
It is a failed rules change and they need to go back to the drawing board.
Look up the NFL.com article from the time.  Dated March 23, 2010

Does that 59%/34% include regular season, though?

The article I previously cited confirmed that the win rate since the rule change was 52% since the rule changed in 2010. Since regular season OT was reduced to 10 mins (2017), that number only increased to 54%. The article failed to state how many were won on the first possession, though.

So, it appears that the win rate DID decrease due to the rules change, both before and after the OT time was modified. If the 2010 stat includes regular season, you can't project the current 12-game sample of current rule OT games to say whether or not a significant change occurred.

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