(06-02-2023, 12:10 PM)Jag149 Wrote:

(06-02-2023, 11:16 AM)flsprtsgod Wrote: Young teams sometimes step back after their first success. We need to be prepared for that this season so we aren't all leaping of the Modis Building next January. We could have 12 wins in the regular season, an All Pro WR, and our big time coach and still end up with a 1st round loss. It happens, especially early in the process.

Copy that.  While I expect the Jags to be very competitive with huge opportunity I am expecting us to have to claw and scratch to win the division this year.  No I am not a negative Nancy. This is the NFL where the margin of winning and losing is very narrow each week., I am just a realist. 

Can we count on Tennessee to lost a bunch of OL guys and their QB or lose 7 in a row to close the season? Heck without an extremely rare defensive play we could have lost that last game against them even with that. They have a good coach so I would not underestimate them.

Can we count on a favorable bounce to create a touchdown ? (Dallas game)

Yea, we have the opportunity, it is going to be great watching if we can do it!!

Yeah. Agreed. That's why I am not putting them on a pedestal just yet and giving them just a +1 in the win column from last year. I think 10 wins is the minimum in this division. I think they'll pull it off. I would like to see them clearly separate themselves from teams they should be head and shoulders above talent and roster wise.

I'll still expect a few slug fests though. The Saints, Steelers and Browns can be scrappy. I know some people were thinking 12 wins when they saw the schedule but I let it breath a bit. Just because those three teams don't have Mahomes, Allen, Burrow or Jackson, or, a Superbowl caliber defense like the 49ers? Those three teams could easily be in the play off mix come late December all fighting for a spot.

So, it's not going to be easy. It is the NFL. Like you said. I still expect the offense to be better than last year and getting off to faster starts with limited errors. Especially in the redzone. That was THE biggest pisser for me last year as a fan. At one point Lawrence had me on the ropes and barely hanging on as a hopeful for him with the killer endzone INTs. Etienne fumbling a few there didnt help. Nor did some of the misfires and drops.

That should be rare in 2023. Not nearly as common as it was in 2022 going into year two of the same offense with really just two new faces on offense in Harrison at OT and Ridley at WR. Which, really? Should be upgrades. Will be interested in Strange and Bigsby early and often as well.

The defense is still "meh" for me. Caldwell needs to show a more commanding presence and understanding of his personnel on that side. Its his 2nd year as a DC. These year two guys need to show up majorly for it to be succesful in 2023. They get some help with three rookies to play at some point this year divisionally.

We'll see though. 10 is the target for me. Just give me 10. I think its enough.

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