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Tony Pauline of Sports Illustrated was on 1010XL this afternoon talking draft. He is well known draft expert with lots of NFL and scout connections. I thought I would share some of his comments.


CLOWNEY.........

His #1 top draft prospect. Believes he will be the top defensive prospect since Bruce Smith. He's flexible in that you can rush him outside or inside the tackles taking advantages of a weakness. Game disrupter. Doesn't think there will be any motivational issues for him in the pros. He saw his teammate, Marcus Latimore, go down with devastating injuries and it affected him and factored into his play. He was playing and protecting himself. There's life after college. Still college teams were seriously game planning against him with double teams, triple teams, holding him, tripping him, whatever it took. Only negative was that he didn't come into the season in really good shape.


BRIDGEWATER........

very good player, comes from a pro style offense, experience calling his own plays, should have an easy transition into the pros, tough player, a gamer but has durability issues due to his size. Should excel at the combine especially at the chalkboard sessions. His #2 quarterback on the board.


BORTLES............

Wasn't impressed at first until he saw the films. Big, nimble, has an excellent game, makes the right choices, sees the field well, good presnap reads, handles pressure well, strong, tough guy, smart, proto-typical size, can do it all on his own. His #1 QB prospect.


MANZIEL............

Boom or bust. Had a terrific 2nd season, a real gamer, tough, exciting player, durability questions, not sure how he translates to the NFL where linebackers are faster and the secondary is quicker. Rated top of 2nd round but will probably go top 12. His 3rd rated QB.


METTENBERGER.............

Can make all the throws, pocket passer, would have excelled at the combine, was going to be drafted in the bottom third of the 1st round, now he's looking 2nd round.


MCCARRON................

Not going to going to the senior bowl is going to hurt him. He had everything to gain by playing. Likes him but doesn't love him. Game manager. 2nd or 3rd round. Good for a team needing a QB when his QB isn't there in the first round.


MURRAY......

Will fall to the last day of the draft. Probably won't be a starter. Good guy to have on the sidelines. Good back up. He's a gamer though.


HUNDLEY...........

Huge wild card, could go in the middle of round one to the end of round two depending on how he interviews and works out. Scouts are telling him to go back for another year but he wants to come out now.


FALES...............

Solid college QB, game manager, not great arm or size, mid to late round guy.


BARR............,

His big board #5. Very athletic, still developing, can be an every down guy, can be used as a strong side linebacker in a 4-3 system or an OLB in a 3-4 system, effective pass rusher, but can drop back in coverage against TEs likeGronkowski or Jimmy Graham.


QUESTION POSED TO HIM...........

If you were on the clock and you could pick any player for Jacksonville, who would it be?


A very tough decision between Bortles and Clowney. Would pick Bortles. Fills a need, would fit the Jags offense, good player now but with great potential. If Clowney is picked then would think Derek Carr or McCarron would be a good choice in a later round.


OTHER COMMENTS...........


Top receivers are Watson, Lee and Evans but lots of #2 receivers falling to the 2nd and 3rd rounds. Offensive tackles may be better and deeper than last year. Also a strong OLB class.
I follow Pauline on Twitter. He was raving about Bortles the other day. He called him Big Ben-esque
Thanks for this. Very interesting. Did he say anything about Boyd? Interested in his views on him. (NOT saying he needs to be in Jacksonville)
Quote:Thanks for this. Very interesting. Did he say anything about Boyd? Interested in his views on him. (NOT saying he needs to be in Jacksonville)


No, he didn't. I would like to have heard. The hosts were asking the questions about each prospect and did not ask about him. He could be a good later round prospect.
I wasn't impressed by Bortles the other night.

Quote:I wasn't impressed by Bortles the other night.
 

I'm trying to figure out whats so great about Bortles (I mean, he's "good", but......you know?

 

what I keep hearing from everyone is "potential"....

 

Here we go again....

 

 

Bortles is my distant 3rd QB on my QB wish list after Bridge and Manziel

I agree with almost everything he said, and I been telling the Murray lovers that all year, i'm still not sold on taking Bortles number 3, the only QB's I would take there is Manzial or Bridgewater. 

Quote:I'm trying to figure out whats so great about Bortles (I mean, he's "good", but......you know?

 

what I keep hearing from everyone is "potential"....

 

Here we go again....

 

 

Bortles is my distant 3rd QB on my QB wish list after Bridge and Manziel
I think Hundely has more potential and more talent and he prob would be able to be had in the 2nd round
Quote:I'm trying to figure out whats so great about Bortles (I mean, he's "good", but......you know?


what I keep hearing from everyone is "potential"....


Here we go again....



Bortles is my distant 3rd QB on my QB wish list after Bridge and Manziel


That's all it is - potential. Just like Joe Flacco and Ben Roethlisberger and Colin Kaepernik. They were all drafted higher than their play would seem to warrant due to their potential. Bortles is 6'5" and runs probably somewhere around a 4.8 40. Not bad for a guy his size. Add to that he can make all the throws and you have an intriguing prospect
I'll say this.....I'm glad we had the weakest strength of schedule and not the strongest.
Because Blake is SO much tougher sounding than Blaine.
Quote:That's all it is - potential. Just like Joe Flacco and Ben Roethlisberger and Colin Kaepernik. They were all drafted higher than their play would seem to warrant due to their potential. Bortles is 6'5" and runs probably somewhere around a 4.8 40. Not bad for a guy his size. Add to that he can make all the throws and you have an intriguing prospect


Completely agree, though I think Bortles will run a 4.6ish 40.
Quote:That's all it is - potential. Just like Joe Flacco and Ben Roethlisberger and Colin Kaepernik. They were all drafted higher than their play would seem to warrant due to their potential. Bortles is 6'5" and runs probably somewhere around a 4.8 40. Not bad for a guy his size. Add to that he can make all the throws and you have an intriguing prospect
 

I dunno about that, I remember Roethlisberger playing well heading into the draft, same with Kaepernick. Flacco was always a question mark with the lower level and all. 

 

I just hope the only difference between Blaine in college and Blake in college is that Blake won his most recent bowl game...

 

The whole drafting on potential thing just gives me pause. 
No matter how "pro ready" a guy is you are still drafting on potential...especially early on...no body drafts a guy that peaked in college early on...

I think what makes people like Bortles over Manziel is that while manziel avoided the big hit Bortles took the hit and defenders bounce off or has the strength to rip himself from their arms and make a throw.it'll be harder for someone Manziels side to do that against the Mathis Allens and peppers in the league.  With that said being able to lead your team down the field when the game is in the line and win it is what makes me attracted to Bortles. And I think when they fix his throwing motions he'll get more arm strength.

Quote:No matter how "pro ready" a guy is you are still drafting on potential...especially early on...no body drafts a guy that peaked in college early on...
 

Agreed, but some QB have a lower floor than others. 

 

Bridgewater has a much higher floor than Bortles. 

 

Gabbert's floor was low also based on his unimpressive college play. Bortles' play in college thus far, the bowl game notwithstanding has been decent but nothing really eye opening as well. 
Quote:I think what makes people like Bortles over Manziel is that while manziel avoided the big hit Bortles took the hit and defenders bounce off or has the strength to rip himself from their arms and make a throw.it'll be harder for someone Manziels side to do that against the Mathis Allens and peppers in the league.  With that said being able to lead your team down the field when the game is in the line and win it is what makes me attracted to Bortles. And I think when they fix his throwing motions he'll get more arm strength.
 

Everyone always assumes these throwing motions can be fixed (Leftwich/ Tebow/etc) and in almost every instance it doesn't happen. Its too far along to fix something thats second nature at this point. 
The guy increased his numbers in just about every statistical category over the course of his career...31 total TDs to 9 INTs is while beating Baylor, Louisville, and Penn State.  I am not saying he is great or should be our pick...but just looking at the numbers he has shown that he has a decent floor.

 

2013:

Passing Yards - 3,581

Comp%: 67.8%

YPA: 9.37 (one of your favorite stats)

TDS: 31 total (25 passing and 6 rushing)

INTs: 9

ADJ QBR: 79.2

 

Those are not pedestrian stats at all...

Quote:The guy increased his numbers in just about every statistical category over the course of his career...31 total TDs to 9 INTs is while beating Baylor, Louisville, and Penn State.  I am not saying he is great or should be our pick...but just looking at the numbers he has shown that he has a decent floor.

 

2013:

Passing Yards - 3,581

Comp%: 67.8%

YPA: 9.37 (one of your favorite stats)

TDS: 31 total (25 passing and 6 rushing)

INTs: 9

ADJ QBR: 79.2

 

Those are not pedestrian stats at all...
 

What scares me a bit about Bortles is that he had several games this season where he was just ineffective, Blanked. 3 or 4 games without a passing TD, no? 

 

1 game I'd brush under the carpet. 3 starts to concern me. 
he had 1 against Memphis...by far his worst statistical game...one against Houston...Against S. Methodist he didn't have any passing TDs but had 2 rushing so I wouldn't count that one as a blank game for him.  Also I don't think I would say he was ineffective against Houston either...he went 17/24 for 210 yards (70.8% comp) with one INT for a 136.0 QB rating...so while not great not a horrible game either.  I also forgot to mention that he played SC too...and only lost by 3 points...

 

When you look at him and Teddy and you compare their numbers against the same opponents he is even with Teddy on most and better on some...once again I am not saying he is better than Teddy or we should draft him...I just think he is getting a lot of hate all of a sudden.

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