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I remember being torn to shreds about a month ago when I said that the free safety position has evolved into a position of great importance.

 

I wonder what changed everyone's mind.

Quote:Everyone is going to assume Ramsey is playing safety in the nfl?


Fans, probably a few teams. I think most will want him at corner though.
Im still fine with drafting him if he does fall to us, however I wouldnt be shocked if the chargers(or even browns/cowboys) take him ahead of us, or if the ravens jump up and trade with someone to draft him.

Please slow down everyone. Let's talk about the draft say March 12th.We will know where we are at then
Quote:Hang on, no one really thinks LT is a more premium position than FS in today's NFL right? That needs to be cleared up first.
!!!
I've been a ramsey guy from jump by Im starting to lime Vh3 more at free safety
Quote:Hang on, no one really thinks LT is a more premium position than FS in today's NFL right? That needs to be cleared up first.


...............really?
Quote:4. DAL - DE Bosa (they are a mess at DE, and that will override any smaller need in the secondary, Bosa still #1 on many boards)


 
Dallas needs Romo's replacement which could shake things up

 

" INDIANAPOLIS --Dallas Cowboys coach Jason Garrett acknowledged on Wednesday that the time has come to find a quarterback to serve as an apprentice to Tony Romo. But he's offering no hints as to where in the draft it might happen. Certainly we want to have a young quarterback in our program who we're developing to be a guy who replaces Tony Romo at some point," Garrett told NFL Network. "Does that mean we take him in the first round, the second round or the third round? I don't know that. We've got to evaluate these guys and sort out who we like at all the positions.

 

Dallas' second-day draft picks are Nos. 34 and 67 overall, and it's first pick of the fourth round comes at No. 101.

By that point, the options will have dwindled, but that doesn't mean the relative value for a quarterback won't come later in the draft. Garrett said the club has "gotten into trouble when you overdo the need thing."

 

If Romo is lost again to injury in 2016, however, the need thing could be all-important for the Cowboys. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000...eplacement
Quote: 

 

LT just isn't nearly as important now for many reasons. Mostly because pass rushes are far more exotic. Stud LT vs stud pass rusher all game just doesn't happen anymore. To lesser but still important degrees, QBs release times are way down and they are also more mobile in general across the board than in the past. RT is pretty much just as important as LT now, and interior oline has never been more important.
Although the analysis of LTs have changed due to the proliferation of quick passes/bubble screens and the spread offenses, I strongly disagree with your conclusions here.

 

First off, teams have been moving around their dominant pass rushers at least since the 1980s.  The Giants rushed Lawrence Taylor from the left, right and middle on occasion.  Buffalo did the same thing with Bruce Smith, the Eagles did the same with Reggie White, and Dallas did the same with Charles Haley.  But even with that, teams still drafted LTs highly then.

 

That hasn't changed.

 

Last year, three tackles were taken in the first round.

 

In 2014, five (5) were taken in the first round, including 3 in the top 11.  All three of them (Robinson, Matthews and Lewan initially projected to LT in the NFL).

 

In 2013, three tackles were taken in the top 5, and all three were initially thought to be able to play LT in the pros.  The difference is that Johnson went to a team in the Eagles that already had an established and good LT in Jason Peters.

 

In 2012, Minnesota took LT Kalil 4th overall.  It was a light year overall for LT, because only two Ts were taken in the first that year (Reilly Reiff was the other).

 

But in 2011, there were six (6) tackles taken in the first round, 3 of whom were definite LTs (Tyron Smith, Nate Solder, Anthony Castonzo).  Smith was taken 9th overall, and Solder 17th.

 

http://www.drafthistory.com/index.php/positions/t

 

These spread offenses and bubble screens make drafting a LT high a trickier proposition, but it doesn't make the position any less valuable, because teams are still drafting them highly.

Quote:Although the analysis of LTs have changed due to the proliferation of quick passes/bubble screens and the spread offenses, I strongly disagree with your conclusions here.

 

First off, teams have been moving around their dominant pass rushers at least since the 1980s.  The Giants rushed Lawrence Taylor from the left, right and middle on occasion.  Buffalo did the same thing with Bruce Smith, the Eagles did the same with Reggie White, and Dallas did the same with Charles Haley.  But even with that, teams still drafted LTs highly then.
I'm not going to do the amount of research it would take to seriously refute this, but I watched a lot of Bruce Smith and Reggie White and I didn't remember them moving much at all. In the two fairly brief videos I found (they could be extremely coincidental, so I'm not saying it's ironclad), but Reggie White posted up at LE every single snap and a video of the career high 19 sacks in Bruce Smith's 1990 season 18 of them came at RE and ony 1 at LE. Based on my memory and the 15 minutes of cutups I will link below they were both exceedingly stationary compared to how pass rushers are used today. Lawrence Taylor was a LB so I'm not really sure he counts. You might be right about Charles Haley, I didn't watch a whole lot of him growing up and I didn't find any good cutups of his to watch either. If you are right about Haley then it was a significantly unique situation.  I think my point stands.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZitnUJziLM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtMYS6xlaRk

 

And yes multiple LT will always be drafted in the 1st round every...along with pretty much every position outside of running back and interior oline. As I showed in the other post, the results of those recent LT draft picks show that they were most likely not the right picks.  

Quote:I'm not going to do the amount of research it would take to seriously refute this, but I watched a lot of Bruce Smith and Reggie White and I didn't remember them moving much at all. In the two fairly brief videos I found (they could be seriously cherry picked, so I'm not saying it's ironclad), but Reggie White posted up at LE every single snap and a video of the career high 19 sacks in Bruce Smith's 1990 season 18 of them came at RE and ony 1 at LE. Based on my memory and the 15 minutes of cutups I will link below they were both exceedingly stationary compared to how pass rushers are used today. Lawrence Taylor was a LB so I'm not really sure he counts. You might be right about Charles Haley, I didn't watch a whole lot of him growing up and I didn't find any good cutups of his to watch either. If you are right about Haley then it was a significantly unique situation.  I think my point stands.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xZitnUJziLM

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtMYS6xlaRk

 

And yes multiple LT will always be drafted in the 1st round every...along with pretty much every position outside of running back and interior oline. As I showed in the other post, the results of those recent LT draft picks show that they were most likely not the right picks.  
Point of clarification is needed from me.  I did not mean to suggest those teams FREQUENTLY moved those players around.  As you pointed out, the bulk of their snaps took place at their home positions (i.e. Reggie White at LDE, Bruce Smith at RDE).  My intent was to show that the concept of moving the best pass rusher around was not unheard of at that time.  It was not my intent to suggest a high level of frequency on that point.  Actually, a better example than all of those I mentioned would be Howie Long.  But here is a clip of Bruce Smith rushing from LDE.  https://youtu.be/tuYxVgghk-k?t=1m54s

 

Here is Charles Haley from LDE in SB XXVII   https://youtu.be/GipjQJXex5Y?t=36s

 

Here is Reggie White rushing from inside...https://youtu.be/ahdEe_sUYPY?t=49s

 

Here is LT rushing from the middle.  Earlier, there is a part against the Rams where he appears to rush from the offensive right side or the defensive left side.  https://youtu.be/Zm1C1jtXOIs?t=1m18s

 

 

Having ceded that distinction, I think your larger point remains unpersuasive.  Over at least the same time period,effective defenses have always fielded strong pass rushers from the defensive left side whether LDE or LB.  Ed "Too Tall" Jones was an outstanding pass rusher from LDE for Dallas in the late 70s and 1980s.  The Gibbs era Skins offered Charles Mann at LDE opposite Dexter Manley in the 1980s and early 1990s.  The Browns had Clay Matthews at LOLB opposite Chip Banks for Cleveland.  The Eagles offered Reggie White.  By 1989, the Chiefs had Neil Smith at LDE to provide a balance to Derrick Thomas at ROLB.  The Giants drafted Michael Strahan and had him at LDE his entire career.  I know with the Steelers and Panthers, Kevin Greene rushed primarily from the LOLB spot.  The tacks played Kearse at LDE for the bulk of his time there.  Having a good to dominant pass rusher opposite the RT is not unique to this particular era.

 

As to your closing point, a drafted tackle proving to be a failure or bust is not the same as saying teams don't value LT as much as they did in the past.  It means the teams missed on the players in question.  Huge difference.

Quote:I'm not going to do thgomount of research it would take to seriously refute this, but I watched a lot of Bruce Smith and Reggie White and I didn't remember them moving much at all. In the two fairly brief videos I found (they could be extremely coincidental, so I'm not saying it's ironclad), but Reggie White posted up at LE every single snap and a video of the career high 19 sacks in Bruce Smith's 1990 season 18 of them came at RE and ony 1 at LE. Based on my memory and the 15 minutes of cutups I will link below they were both exceedingly stationary compared to how pass rushers are used today. Lawrence Taylor was a LB so I'm not really sure he counts. You might be right about Charles Haley, I didn't watch a whole lot of him growing up and I didn't find any good cutups of his to watch either. If you are right about Haley then it was a significantly unique situation. I think my point stands.





And yes multiple LT will always be drafted in the 1st round every...along with pretty much every position outside of running back and interior oline. As I showed in the other post, the results of those recent LT draft picks show that they were most likely not the right picks.
they werent the right picks because the players turned out to not be very good. Its just as hard or harder to find a good LT than it is FS which is just another reason teams take them early to try and get the cream of the crop. You are the only one who believes this except from the guy who told you this on twitter and of course you start believing it. You are wrong again as usual. You dont know more than everyone on this board and every GM over the last decade. Its clear you just read something on twitter and they have you believeing it. You need to lay off twitter for a little bit lol. I think it would help
Quote:As to your closing point, a drafted tackle proving to be a failure or bust is not the same as saying teams don't value LT as much as they did in the past.  It means the teams missed on the players in question.  Huge difference.
Even the ones that were hits didn't make the team get better. For the most part the best left tackles in the league play on bad teams, while the best safties in the league play on teams that went deep into the playoffs. Could it be a major coincidence...possibly but doubtful. 

 

My point is actually that the NFL is behind on this too. These analytics departments are still in their relative infancy, call it the NFLs 'moneyball' era/adjustment if you will. PFF, FO, numberfire, etc...all these independent analytical sites are showing LT is less valuable than ever. I can only assume that NFL team analytics departments are showing the same thing. I believe as these analytics departments become more prevalent and more trusted by their front offices (remember that these GMs and coaches were mostly cutting their teeth in the golden age of LTs so changing that mindset will be tough), the less we will see LTs being overdrafted simply because it's still considered a premium position.
Quote:they werent the right picks because the players turned out to not be very good. Its just as hard or harder to find a good LT than it is FS which is just another reason teams take them early to try and get the cream of the crop. You are the only one who believes this except from the guy who told you this on twitter and of course you start believing it. You are wrong again as usual. You dont know more than everyone on this board and every GM over the last decade. Its clear you just read something on twitter and they have you believeing it. You need to lay off twitter for a little bit lol. I think it would help
I'll bet the front offices for the big market, big payroll teams like the Cubs, Mets, Dodgers, etc sounded a whole lot like this while the A's and Rays were outperforming them year after year despite being dwarfed in payroll. Just keep digging those heels in the dirt.
I'm not sure FS is more important than LT, but they're definitely getting up there to the point where I'd put them as valuable as a CB, due to the fact where they can lock down a section of the field if they're that good.

 

But there's also the fact that FS play hasn't been this bad in a long time. If you can find a really good one, it's huge.

Quote:Now are we talking winninh a superbowl or just in general. Most teams that win superbowls have multiple pass rushers. Pass rushers have always been the key to success.


I feel like you are kond of making my point. A dominant LT removes the best pass rusher which then allows you to double or chip or good players on the defensive front. A good FS can cover a lot of ground but I in my life have never seen a FS who can play like that out side of Ed Reed. He was a special player. Now if you can get me an Ed Reed id agree with you all day. But what other FS has played the game that can cover sidelines to sideline, los to pylon (literally lol)? I have never seen one that good before him or after him.


And again if that FS has no rush in front of him he wont dictate anything but getting bombed up after being on the field for so long. You cant consistently chase guys for 6-7 seconds every play. Fatigue will set in. Von Miller hell Chandler Jones will dictate what you offense can do. And tell that short pass game stuff to Cam and Brady lol.


If you have guys that can get to the qb fast your corners can play tight and up close. You can sit on routes and jump everything cause you know the ball is coming out quick. A FS with no rush in feont of him does not make this happen. A FS with rush in front of him gives the CB more confidence to jump routes because they know everything deep is covered up.
 

Well, I view it differently.

 

By the defense flipping their DE to the opposite side, your dominant LT is now facing a DE that a good LT can block one-on-one. Meanwhile, you'll still need to account for the superstar DE because he's now matched up with your RT (which finding a RT who is a great pass blocker is tough). So as you said, you chip. Which means you're accounting him with two guys.

 

Now, if you have an above average to good LT going against a premier rusher? Well, you give him help and chip. If he flips to the right side, you give him help and chip. So either way, you're giving him help most of the time.

 

Like I said, the only time, IMO that a great LT will really see his full value shine is if the opposing team have two very good rushers that you'll have to help on both sides. In this instance, it will allow you to help only on one side and allow your elite LT to go one-on-one.

 

As for the FS, I already stated that scheme very much dictates the value of this position. For most teams running Cover 2/4 variations, obviously I wouldn't think they value it that high. But for a team like us running 3/1 even zero (might be wrong but I seem to recall the Seahawks going Cover 0 when they really wanted to be aggressive in their "prime sb years). And I don't think there's any question that pass rushers is high on the list, higher than both tackles/safety/corner (I already mentioned this on my previous post, but we're not debating pass rushers vs. safety anyway)

 

And as far as your "tell that to Brady and Newton", you seem to have missed my point about the Broncos being a perfect storm of pass rushers (from just about every front four position), rangy linebackers, and physical but fast corners (thus eliminating the quick passing game)

 

Tell that to Brady and Newton? Tell that to every single defense that those two shredded not named the Broncos. That Denver D were/are the exception to the rule...not the rule.
LT is still more of a premium position over all, but priority of need and scheme tilt things the other way for the Jags currently. 

It's not about one position being more important than the other.

It's that we have a decent player (three bad games last season) at LT, and nothing at the other (zero good games last season.)

 

LT can wait a year , but FS needs to be fixed yesterday. 

 

One should also consider scheme, and Bradley's is fairly safety-centric compared to some others.
Quote:Well, I view it differently.


By the defense flipping their DE to the opposite side, your dominant LT is now facing a DE that a good LT can block one-on-one. Meanwhile, you'll still need to account for the superstar DE because he's now matched up with your RT (which finding a RT who is a great pass blocker is tough). So as you said, you chip. Which means you're accounting him with two guys.


Now, if you have an above average to good LT going against a premier rusher? Well, you give him help and chip. If he flips to the right side, you give him help and chip. So either way, you're giving him help most of the time.


Like I said, the only time, IMO that a great LT will really see his full value shine is if the opposing team have two very good rushers that you'll have to help on both sides. In this instance, it will allow you to help only on one side and allow your elite LT to go one-on-one.


As for the FS, I already stated that scheme very much dictates the value of this position. For most teams running Cover 2/4 variations, obviously I wouldn't think they value it that high. But for a team like us running 3/1 even zero (might be wrong but I seem to recall the Seahawks going Cover 0 when they really wanted to be aggressive in their "prime sb years). And I don't think there's any question that pass rushers is high on the list, higher than both tackles/safety/corner (I already mentioned this on my previous post, but we're not debating pass rushers vs. safety anyway)


And as far as your "tell that to Brady and Newton", you seem to have missed my point about the Broncos being a perfect storm of pass rushers (from just about every front four position), rangy linebackers, and physical but fast corners (thus eliminating the quick passing game)


Tell that to Brady and Newton? Tell that to every single defense that those two shredded not named the Broncos. That Denver D were/are the exception to the rule...not the rule.
Yeah we just view it differently.


My whole premise is based on the idea that a FS needs other players playing well to be effective. There are always a way to reuce someones effectiveness but those primary 4 premium positions just don't require good play from others to have a huge effect on the game. On the other hand a FS needs good play at other spots on the field to be effective. Thats why i keep bringing up pass rush.



Im not comparing the two but im saying a FS needs it to be good. That why i challenge someone to name a dominant FS who doesnt have a pass rush in front of them. To me you cant be a premium position if you need other positions around you to be effective for you to be make an impact.



I will say in our scheme tho it is important because it features a FS. Nonetheless in a general football sense im just cant say a FS is more important than an LT.



But we can have a difference of opinions. Nothing wrong with that. Its what makes discussions like this great.
Quote:LT is still more of a premium position over all, but priority of need and scheme tilt things the other way for the Jags currently. 

It's not about one position being more important than the other.

It's that we have a decent player (three bad games last season) at LT, and nothing at the other (zero good games last season.)

 

LT can wait a year , but FS needs to be fixed yesterday. 

 

One should also consider scheme, and Bradley's is fairly safety-centric compared to some others.
 

I think FS is definitely a scheme thing. But I think we'll start to see teams start downgrading LTs more because of the changes to the game. I think it will be:

 

QB

DE

Pass rushing OLB (edge/3-4 guys though you might argue this counts as DE. I don't since I think there's a drastic difference to what a 4-3 team looks for in DE vs. what a 3-4 looks for in OLB

 

After that it becomes highly varied IMO based on what teams want to do/already have in their roster.
Quote:8 of the top 10 PFF safeties made the playoffs this year, including both super bowl teams. Only two top 10 PFF LTs made the playoffs this year (Whitworth and Trent Williams did), and they were both first round exits. Bakhtiari probably would have made 3 if he didn't get hurt, but still the point is clear. You are going to win a whole lot more games with Earl Thomas with Joe Thomas. 

 

LT just isn't nearly as important now for many reasons. Mostly because pass rushes are far more exotic. Stud LT vs stud pass rusher all game just doesn't happen anymore. To lesser but still important degrees, QBs release times are way down and they are also more mobile in general across the board than in the past. RT is pretty much just as important as LT now, and interior oline has never been more important.
This is exactly what I have been thinking.  It used to be OL's were the safest picks.  Now we have been fewer QB's that are bust than LT's.  This is even given the fact that most teams reach to draft a QB.  The Browns will probably draft a QB at #2 that isn't even rated in the top 10.  I have the Bortles rated about 8-9 but the Jags took him #3.  However he is definitely not a bust.  Will he be great or elite, only time will tell.  Now look at Luke Jockel taken the previous season at #2.  Right now he is a bust.  At best he might be good or above average but currently he is not even that.  Eric Fisher taken ahead of Jockel is almost as bad.  in the last 3-4 years who are the QB busts taken in the first round, Johnny Football and RGIII and RBIII had a great rookie year.  After that most of the other QB's have turned out okay or better.

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