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3 Jags in top 25 rookies list
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(10-04-2019, 07:31 PM)hb1148 Wrote:(10-04-2019, 09:49 AM)JaguarKick Wrote: There is a tooooon of confirmation bias in this thread. "I like TC more than Dave, so obviously TC has more influence on these good drafts." Can we talk about how Fournette certainly seems more of TC's style than Dave's? Are we going to ignore Ramsey/Jack/Ngakoue before TC arrived? Taven (who's now beginning to look better) was definitely a Dave pick because we didn't like it? Fournette is as hot and cold as players can get. Still needs to prove a LOT to be remotely worthy of a #4 pick. Taylor was just as much a "no brainer" as the others you don't want to credit Caldwell for since he fell so far. Richardson is a work in progress. I find it very odd that so many folks feel so convicted in their assumptions and speculations about what exactly Caldwell and/or Coughlin are responsible for. You guys are just guessing. You have absolutely no idea which picks (if any) Coughlin altered from Dave's big board. Let's not forget that they are BOTH responsible for the Bortles extension as well. I can appreciate a hypothesis that TC has positively influenced a few good personnel moves since he arrived, but there's no way to know what he's actually done in that regard. The official story is that there's always a consensus. We're not privy to the process beyond that. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
(10-04-2019, 07:31 PM)hb1148 Wrote:(10-04-2019, 09:49 AM)JaguarKick Wrote: There is a tooooon of confirmation bias in this thread. "I like TC more than Dave, so obviously TC has more influence on these good drafts." Can we talk about how Fournette certainly seems more of TC's style than Dave's? Are we going to ignore Ramsey/Jack/Ngakoue before TC arrived? Taven (who's now beginning to look better) was definitely a Dave pick because we didn't like it? You're putting Leonard Fournette, Will Richardson, Jawaan Taylor, and Minshew in the Coughlin column Vs Ramsey, Jack, Ngakoue, Linder, Lee, Joeckel, and Telvin Smith in the Caldwell column and declaring decisive victory for Coughlin? ![]() Anyway, I'm with NYC. Impossible to know what lies where between the two and frankly I see very little difference in the overall quality of the drafts. The biggest sin in my eyes was trying to salvage Bortles by masking him with Fournette and there's no way any of us can know how that decision was ultimately made. (10-04-2019, 09:29 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: Fournette is as hot and cold as players can get. Still needs to prove a LOT to be remotely worthy of a #4 pick. (10-05-2019, 02:57 AM)Senor Fantastico Wrote: You're putting Leonard Fournette, Will Richardson, Jawaan Taylor, and Minshew in the Coughlin column Of course we don't know beyond a shadow of a doubt how the interplay between Caldwell and Coughlin works but do you really think Coughlin just sits in his office and eats sandwich's all day? A guy with his personality? That puts Coughlin in the role of a figure head which is absurd. What proof is there that TC would have agreed to that? "Is that going to be the focus? What else is there? What the hell would we be doing this for if not to win? We’re trying to win today. Who's going to get the better lunch? Let’s not have any misunderstanding about why we're here." - Tom Coughlin I don't think Caldwell is completely out of the picture. I'd bet he still does a majority of the player evaluations and probably presents his case to Coughlin who has his own ideas and then they come to an agreement. If they can't come to an agreement TC most likely has the final say. The differences in the higher picks that where made before and after TC came on board are subtle to be sure. Coughlin's fingerprints become more evident in rounds 3 and below. I think comparisons of Ramsey, Jack, Ngakoue, Lee, Joeckel and Smith to Fournette, Richardson, Taylor, and Minshew and don't forget Leon Jacobs and Ronnie Harrison are debatable. There's reasons to think the latter group is better top to bottom and there are better value picks there. Joeckel was a bust. Lee is reasonably talented but can't stay on the field. Ramsey is great but may not be here much longer. Ngakoue is a pretty good pass rusher and is a pretty good value for where we was picked but is not great against the run and Jack's a pretty good linebacker and I give props to Caldwell for making that pick when there were concerns about his knee.
I'm condescending. That means I talk down to you.
Check out the Jag's Forum Alternative: Duval Football Fans. (10-02-2019, 07:23 PM)hb1148 Wrote:(10-02-2019, 07:06 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: There is no indication he's taking any differing degree of "control." Which guys do you identify as Coughlin piccks? To me, only two guys have struck me as Coughlin picks-Fournette and Smoot. I suspect Taven Bryan would be another possible TC pick, but again I'm not sure. I believe TC has had a major influence on free agency signings, however. Calais Campbell specifically cited TC as a big reason he signed here. Relying on free agent signings has been part of TCs MO since he was first here. Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
(10-05-2019, 07:51 AM)hb1148 Wrote:(10-04-2019, 09:29 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: Fournette is as hot and cold as players can get. Still needs to prove a LOT to be remotely worthy of a #4 pick. In the pressers around the first draft after Coughlin's arrival Caldwell was asked what his process was with Coughlin on board. He said he does exactly what he did prior to TC's arrival. He also said all final decisions were a consensus between himself, TC, sometimes ownership, and they often seek Marrone's opinion as well. Regardless, I'm sure we can all agree that it's good to see productivity from these rookies right now however they were agreed upon. We'll need them to step up if we're to compete minus a few anticipated starters. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (10-04-2019, 09:49 AM)JaguarKick Wrote: There is a tooooon of confirmation bias in this thread. "I like TC more than Dave, so obviously TC has more influence on these good drafts." Can we talk about how Fournette certainly seems more of TC's style than Dave's? Are we going to ignore Ramsey/Jack/Ngakoue before TC arrived? Taven (who's now beginning to look better) was definitely a Dave pick because we didn't like it? Agreed generally and especially with the part in bold. Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
(10-02-2019, 07:29 PM)hb1148 Wrote:Interesting.(10-02-2019, 07:25 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: So, pure speculation. Caldwell drafted Allen Robinson at the bottom of the 2nd round (61st overall) and he became a productive WR. Somebody drafted D.J. Chark at the bottom of the 2nd round (61st overall) and is on his way to being a productive WR. Caldwell drafted Yannick Ngakoue in the 3rd round (69th overall) and has been a productive DE. Somebody drafted Dawuane Smoot in the 3rd round (68th overall) and has not been a productive DE (though has played better this year). Now perhaps some of this is a function of the strengths of the teams at the time they were drafted, the comparative draft positions, and the relevant draft classes but I look at Caldwell's mid round picks, but I see guys like Linder, Telvin Smith and Ngakoue. I look at TC's picks in the 3rd round and below over the years and I don't see the same degree of success. 1995 Round: 3 Pick in the round: 7 Overall pick: 71 Chris Hudson DB Colorado Round: 4 Pick in the round: 1 Overall pick: 99 Rob Johnson QB USC Round: 4 Pick in round: 25 Overall pick: 123 Mike Thompson DT Wisconsin 5 35 169 Ryan Christopherson RB Wyoming 6 1 172 Marcus Price T Louisiana State 6 37 208 Fred McCrary RB Mississippi State 7 11 219 Curtis Marsh 1996 3 2 63 Aaron Beasley DB West Virginia 4 15 110 Reggie Barlow WR Alabama State 5 14 146 Jimmy Herndon G Houston 6 3 170 John Fisher DB Missouri Western 7 6 18 185 Chris Doering WR Florida 7 18 227 Clarence Jones WR Tennessee State 7 19 228 Gregory Spann WR Jackson State 1997 3 19 79 James Hamilton LB North Carolina 4 18 114 Seth Payne DT Cornell 5 17 147 Damon Jones TE Southern Illinois 6 21 184 Daimon Shelton RB Sacramento State 7 20 221 Jon Hesse LB Nebraska 1998 3 25 86 Jonathan Quinn QB Middle Tennessee State 4 9 101 Tavian Banks RB Iowa 4 26 118 Harry Deligianis DE Youngstown State 5 25 148 John Wade C Marshall 6 26 179 Lamanzer Williams DE Minnesota 6 29 182 Kevin McLeod RB Auburn 7 3 192 Alvis Whitted WR North Carolina State 7 25 214 Brandon Tolbert LB Georgia 1999 3 27 88 Anthony Cesario G Colorado State 4 26 121 Kevin Landolt DE West Virginia 5 27 160 Jason Craft DB Colorado State 6 13 182 Emarlos Leroy DT Georgia 7 36 242 Dee Moronkola DB Washington State 7 40 246 Chris White DT Southern 2000 3 30 92 T.J. Slaughter LB Southern Mississippi 4 29 123 Joey Chustz T Louisiana Tech 5 30 159 Kiwaukee Thomas DB Georgia Southern 6 30 196 Emanuel Smith WR Arkansas 7 30 236 Erik Olson DB Colorado State 7 35 241 Rob Meier DT Washington State 7 37 243 Shyrone Stith RB Virginia Tech 7 39 245 Danny Clark LB Illinois 7 41 247 Mark Baniewicz T Syracuse 2001 3 11 73 Eric Westmoreland LB Tennessee 3 32 94 James Boyd DB Penn State 5 11 142 David Leaverton P Tennessee 6 7 170 Chad Ward G Washington 7 13 213 Anthony Denman LB Notre Dame 7 33 233 Marlon McCree DB Kentucky 7 35 235 Richmond Flowers WR Chattanooga 7 41 241 Randy Chevier DT McGill 2002 3 24 89 Akin Ayodele LB Purdue 4 10 108 David Garrard QB East Carolina 4 20 118 Chris Luzar TE Virginia 6 8 180 Clenton Ballard DT Southwest Texas State 7 11 222 Kendall Newson WR Middle Tennessee State 7 36 247 Steve Smith DB Oregon 7 37 248 Hayden Epstein K Michigan drafthistory.com I placed emphasis on the best players in those particular draft classes. While most of those guys were decent to good role players, none of those guys were as good as the three I have identified from Caldwell's draft classes. Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
(10-05-2019, 09:16 AM)Upper Wrote: I'm not even willing to put Fournette as a "Coughlin pick". I think Caldwell was more than happy to take a guy they hoped could shoulder the load on offense and allow them to hide and hopefully salvage Fournette. The reason I would list him as a Coughlin pick is because: 1. Fournette fits the historical paradigm of a TC running back. He's always favored the bigger RB, whether James Stewart, Natrone Means, Curtis Enis (Yes...in 1998, he wasnted to trade up for Curtis Enis, but wasn't able to pull off the trade, so he stayed at 9 and took FT instead), FT, Stacey Mack, and Brandon Jacobs. 2. It was his first year there and he likely wanted to put his stamp on the team. Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (10-05-2019, 08:05 AM)Bullseye Wrote:(10-02-2019, 07:23 PM)hb1148 Wrote: I think the indication of him taking more control is evident in the quality of the picks. You just have to look over the past 3 years and compare them with the previous years. There's no question he's having an influence on the selections being made. If I had to guess I'd suspect DJ Chark might be a Coughlin influenced pick although Caldwell has picked taller more physical receivers too so it's a tough call. Will Richardson and Leon Jacobs definitely. Jacobs is the big physical player whereas DC has seemed to prefer speedy more finesse style linebackers (Smith and Jack). I'd ordinarily identify Jawaan Taylor as a Coughlin style OL pick but anyone would have made that pick given where they picked him.
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(10-05-2019, 09:21 AM)Bullseye Wrote:(10-05-2019, 09:16 AM)Upper Wrote: I'm not even willing to put Fournette as a "Coughlin pick". I think Caldwell was more than happy to take a guy they hoped could shoulder the load on offense and allow them to hide and hopefully salvage Fournette. What exactly do you mean by "Coughlin pick?" Do you think these guys say, "I'm taking this one, I'll give you the next one?" I am pretty sure what happens is, they have long meetings about the direction of the team and how to fill spots with free agents and draft picks. They decide on an overall strategy for team building. They look at available free agents and draft picks. And they fit their free agents and draft picks into this overall strategy. They discuss the possible draft picks endlessly and they probably almost always come to an agreement about what course to take. There's no way for us to tell whose choice was whose. Because it doesn't work like that. There's a lot of undeserved negativity floating around on this message board, with people trying to make a case that this guy or that guy should be fired. So they try to figure out a way to blame the "bad picks" on one guy or the other. It's a universal characteristic that people, especially people posting on football message boards, are guilty of simplistic thinking. They're always trying to boil everything down to some sort of "solution." It's not that simple. And in this case, it's not so simple that you can say one guy was a "Coughlin pick" and another guy was a "Caldwell pick." It just doesn't work that way. (10-05-2019, 09:21 AM)Bullseye Wrote:(10-05-2019, 09:16 AM)Upper Wrote: I'm not even willing to put Fournette as a "Coughlin pick". I think Caldwell was more than happy to take a guy they hoped could shoulder the load on offense and allow them to hide and hopefully salvage Fournette. I think he was probably tops on the board for both of them. I have a hard time believing that, especially with the higher picks, there has been a time where either one had significantly differing opinions on who we took. (10-05-2019, 08:50 AM)Bullseye Wrote:(10-02-2019, 07:29 PM)hb1148 Wrote: Maybe a little bit of speculation, but mostly extrapolation and some hard metrics based on where players were drafted and were they are now. Unless you subscribe to the thought that Caldwell suddenly got smart when TC came along. Possible I guess but that would be speculation.Interesting. Linder, Smith (although he's evidently retired now) and Ngakoue are Caldwell's highlights. No GM is going to hit every time or miss every time. Of the players you identified as the best, I'd say these guys were all great value picks: Aaron Beasley Seth Payne Tavian Banks John Wade T.J. Slaughter Rob Meier David Garrard All were multi-year starters, some for multiple teams with the exception of Banks who's career was cut short but certainly could have been an earlier version of Corey Grant.
I'm condescending. That means I talk down to you.
Check out the Jag's Forum Alternative: Duval Football Fans. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (10-05-2019, 09:32 AM)he Real Marty Wrote:(10-05-2019, 09:21 AM)Bullseye Wrote: The reason I would list him as a Coughlin pick is because: A fair point. I believe a "Coughlin pick" is one that is Coughlin influenced, or a player that TC favors over DC's recommendation. While I don't pretend to know exactly what TC is thinking on a given pick, nor do I have any first hand knowledge of the inner workings of the FO, I think I have a decent (not absolute...not perfect) feel for how he thinks on some personnel matters for a mere message board poster. I identified his preference for larger backs soon after he was hired and months before the draft. They drafted Fournette. https://www.duvalpride.com/showthread.ph...#pid940894 I pointed out TC generally does not draft TE in the first round. Even though TE was a popular choice among Jaguars fans in first round of the past two drafts, I maintained based on TCs history, he would not take a TE in the first round. The team was in position to take a TE in the first round the last two years and didn't do it. I don't believe I have really advocated either TC or DC be fired unless some very narrow conditions are met, and that point was limited to one thread. Usually, when people are clamoring for a particular individual to be fired, I am among those urging restraint. I believe they aim for a consensus at a given pick. If they disagree on a pick, I think it defaults to TC. Both have had good and bad picks. Both have strengths and weaknesses. It is my belief that DC is a better drafterm especially in the mid to late rounds. I think TC is better at identifying free agents. Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
You guys are wasting a lot of energy on something that doesn’t matter.
Just win baby. (10-05-2019, 11:58 AM)JagFanatic24 Wrote: You guys are wasting a lot of energy on something that doesn’t matter. What?!??!? You say that as if we have no pull whatsoever with the FO in personnel issues. We all know they read this board for difficult decisions! ![]() Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
(10-05-2019, 07:51 AM)hb1148 Wrote:(10-04-2019, 09:29 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: Fournette is as hot and cold as players can get. Still needs to prove a LOT to be remotely worthy of a #4 pick. Well yeah, this is the point. There is no proof or formal outline that we have any access too. That's why all this Coughlin pick vs Caldwell pick is nonsense. But even if you did separate Pre-Coughlin vs Post-Coughlin I find it extremely hard to say the drafts were markedly improved whatsoever. In fact, if I were to list them I'd go best to worst with: 2016 2019 2014 2018 2017 2015 2013 Hardly any compelling pattern there. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (10-05-2019, 12:17 PM)Bullseye Wrote:(10-05-2019, 11:58 AM)JagFanatic24 Wrote: You guys are wasting a lot of energy on something that doesn’t matter. I mean, how is Khan going to know who to fire if we don't work it all out for him in this derailed thread? We're doing important work here. ![]() (10-06-2019, 11:45 AM)NYC4jags Wrote:(10-05-2019, 12:17 PM)Bullseye Wrote: What?!??!? Pay attention, boys and girls. This is what's known as proper perspective! Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
(10-06-2019, 11:58 AM)Bullseye Wrote:(10-06-2019, 11:45 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: I mean, how is Khan going to know who to fire if we don't work it all out for him in this derailed thread? Fans talk about the team and franchise. That's what they do.
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