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** The Official Hurricane Matthew Thread **


Quote:I think you completely misread her post. She was saying it would be bad for those countries to be hit twice, especially Haiti.
Indeed I did. I was more than a bit shocked at what I thought I'd read there, glad to see I was mistaken.

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Quote:No that would be Frances from 2004. That dirtbag moved at a pace of a few mph I believe, maybe even less. Was hammered for two days straight with no power for a week.


Yeah, I do remember that one. Then Jeanne came through a few weeks later to compound the misery.
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Quote:I'll die when I'm ready to die
That's the problem with flying.  If it's the pilots time, it's your time too.

When you get into the endzone, act like you've been there before.
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Quote:*edit: never mind, misread this. Apologies.


Thank you.
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Quote:That's the problem with flying. If it's the pilots time, it's your time too.


I won't let it happen.
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Quote:I won't let it happen.
Remember that time Chuck Norris fell out of an airplane? He roundhouse kicked the air so fast that he became a helicopter and landed without incident.

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Quote:Remember that time Chuck Norris fell out of an airplane? He roundhouse kicked the air so fast that he became a helicopter and landed without incident.


Sounds like something Chuck would do.. Me on the other hand, Death just owed me a favor or two. We worked it out.
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So is it better to run the generator continuously to keep the fridge, or alternate hours or something...


[Image: Jason-The-Good-Place-Jaguars.png?w=472]
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How bad is it going to be?
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Quote:How bad is it going to be?
Well my phone alerted me just as I was falling asleep.
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Quote:Well my phone alerted me just as I was falling asleep.



Mine just went off too...scared the mess out of me!!
What in the Wide Wide World of Sports is agoin' on here???
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Is it a coincidence that HURRICANE started this thread?


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Quote:Mine just went off too...scared the mess out of me!!
Thought Thursday was decision day, I'm getting rings that make it feel like it's time to hop in the tub and cover with the mattress
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Quote:So is it better to run the generator continuously to keep the fridge, or alternate hours or something...
The fridge compressor doesn't run continuously so no need for the generator to, unless you're powering something else that does (lights).

When you get into the endzone, act like you've been there before.
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Quote:How bad is it going to be?
 

I'll post a picture from the beach tomorrow morning.

When you get into the endzone, act like you've been there before.
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11:00 PM update is the worst yet for the first coast. Here it is in a nutshell:

 

Computers are periodically put to work taking the latest information, combining it with what's already happened and projecting the future based upon that. In the case of hurricanes, there are well over a dozen different computer models used for those calculations. Those are referred to as the spaghetti models, because when they're all plotted on the screen, it looks like spaghetti.

 

The single track you see on TV is based upon those spaghetti models. Every model is different and produces a different path, but they tend to form some kind of consensus, and that's where the official "track" ends up placed.

 

Ignore that single line Deegan & Co. put on TV. Even ignore the broader swath of doom they draw up there. What's important to watch for in these models is the trends, and there's a pretty disturbing trend emerging here. For the last 36 hours or so, the models as a whole have been swinging from east to west in terms of exactly where the center of this storm will be. The piece of the puzzle that worries me most is that the models have begun swinging farther and farther west, and not rebounding as far east to take the center of the storm well offshore. That, to me, is more of a concern than any single, magical line on a map that tells us where it's going. The same sort of trend emerged during Hermine. The spaghetti models swung west to east and back, and ultimately wound up moving farther west and not rebounding as far east.

 

So what does this actually suggest? To me, it suggests that there's a very good chance of a very serious impact for Jacksonville from Matthew. The best-case scenario for Jacksonville, at this point, almost looks like it would involve Matthew making landfall south of Cape Canaveral and weakening as it hauls up the coast rather than staying just offshore. Hopefully Matthew Floyds out on you guys at the last second and makes a surprising turn offshore, but I wouldn't personally be hanging around Jacksonville to find out--this from a guy who intentionally puts himself underneath massive, dangerous storms for funsies.

 

Stay safe, be prepared, and stay tuned. This isn't the usual joke of a tropical storm that comes along and blows over some patio chairs.


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(This post was last modified: 10-05-2016, 11:56 PM by Jagsfan32277.)

I'm crying, ill miss this forum. We are going to be annihilated
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Quote:Thought Thursday was decision day, I'm getting rings that make it feel like it's time to hop in the tub and cover with the mattress


Amen!!
What in the Wide Wide World of Sports is agoin' on here???
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Quote:11:00 PM update is the worst yet for the first coast. Here it is in a nutshell:

 

Computers are periodically put to work taking the latest information, combining it with what's already happened and projecting the future based upon that. In the case of hurricanes, there are well over a dozen different computer models used for those calculations. Those are referred to as the spaghetti models, because when they're all plotted on the screen, it looks like spaghetti.

 

The single track you see on TV is based upon those spaghetti models. Every model is different and produces a different path, but they tend to form some kind of consensus, and that's where the official "track" ends up placed.

 

Ignore that single line Deegan & Co. put on TV. Even ignore the broader swath of doom they draw up there. What's important to watch for in these models is the trends, and there's a pretty disturbing trend emerging here. For the last 36 hours or so, the models as a whole have been swinging from east to west in terms of exactly where the center of this storm will be. The piece of the puzzle that worries me most is that the models have begun swinging farther and farther west, and not rebounding as far east to take the center of the storm well offshore. That, to me, is more of a concern than any single, magical line on a map that tells us where it's going. The same sort of trend emerged during Hermine. The spaghetti models swung west to east and back, and ultimately wound up moving farther west and not rebounding as far east.

 

So what does this actually suggest? To me, it suggests that there's a very good chance of a very serious impact for Jacksonville from Matthew. The best-case scenario for Jacksonville, at this point, almost looks like it would involve Matthew making landfall south of Cape Canaveral and weakening as it hauls up the coast rather than staying just offshore. Hopefully Matthew Floyds out on you guys at the last second and makes a surprising turn offshore, but I wouldn't personally be hanging around Jacksonville to find out--this from a guy who intentionally puts himself underneath massive, dangerous storms for funsies.

 

Stay safe, be prepared, and stay tuned. This isn't the usual joke of a tropical storm that comes along and blows over some patio chairs.


Great...now I really am going to go curl up in my bathtub with a mattress over me!! Sad
What in the Wide Wide World of Sports is agoin' on here???
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Do I get time and a half for working Thursday?
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