I think this year the AFCS balances out to more resemble what it should be. Winner of the division is 9-7. In my opinion, last year the tacks overachieved, the texans got lucky a time or two, the colts were right about what I expected, and the Jags underachieved. I know preseason doesn't say much but you can learn a thing or two from individual matchups. I look forward to the remaining games to get a better idea, but after one game:

tacks- Have high offensive ceiling but lack receiver depth. The defense looks like they may slip backward.
texans- Have relied too much on the defense and we're seeing the fall in the lack of addressing the offense. The defense will suffer inconsistency within that front seven when mixed with less than stellar DB play. I think they will be good against the run, but they get exposed this year in the pass big time.
colts- Offense goes as Luck goes. No luck, colts hit bottom. After watching their D play, I think they may be underrated on that side of the ball.
jags- Offense goes as Bortles goes. I see him having the reins put on and relegated to game manager duty. Not always a bad thing. The defense has the pieces to be special. Weakness this year is what combo to play at LB. Not like being exposed in the middle by TEs is all that new.

Not going to try and rank the teams just yet. Haven't seen enough game play.

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