(02-07-2018, 10:12 AM)Caldrac Wrote:

(02-06-2018, 01:10 PM)TheO-LineMatters Wrote: How so? Rudolph is miles from Bortles in terms of consistency and accuracy. I'd say he's one of the most accurate QB's in the draft. I like him because other than size, he is the complete opposite of Bortles from what I see. Mason Rudolph got better every year in college, where as Bortles started out great, fell off greatly his second year and rebounded his last season. That should've given a clue that he was inconsistent.

Josh Allen is the guy that reminds me most of Bortles. He'll make 2 or 3 great throws and you think he's a star, then he goes on streaks where he looks like he couldn't hit the side of a barn. He's erratic as all get out. i wouldn't touch him. All I want is consistency and drafting Allen in my mind, would be a lateral move.

No, he's not. Their accuracy is neck and neck and he had a full year of additional experience coming out of college. Blake had 37 career games to his name coming out of UCF. Mason's got 42. Not a whole lot more experience but the career accuracy is virtually the same. The only difference is that Blake did a lot more with his feet and mobility where Mason is more involved in an air it out system. 

And saying Mason is one of the more accurate passers in this draft isn't saying much. Mayfield is easily the most accurate. But Jackson's is horrible. Rosen and Darnold are in the low 60s. Allen's isn't that much better than Jackson's. None of these QB's in this class really scream instant star or elite passer at the next level. 

At least Watson and Wilson had crazy good accuracy coming out of college in that high 60 - low 70 percent range. Highly effective, accurate, huge TD-INT ratio, played in big games, etc. That's why for me it's Mayfield and everybody else in this class. If he didn't have that arrest he's probably a top ten selection. 

If you want consistency? It's Mayfield. If you want a freak athlete with huge upside? It's Jackson. If you want a project that may or may not pan out by 2020? Take your pick between Rudolph, Allen, Browning, Rosen and Darnold. 

My dark horse selection is Luke Falk. Great from the pocket, decent size, highly accurate and he protects the football. Could be a decent starter in time that you can find in RD3 later on or maybe even RD4.

Again, look at the stats. Bortles showed how erratic he was when his completion percentage went from 68% to 62% to 67%. That's a pretty big difference and shows inconsistency. Rudolph's completion percentage steadily improved every season, like a college QB prospect is supposed to show. 

Rosen is widely regarded as the most accurate QB in the draft. His offensive line nearly got him killed several times and he always had defenders in his face, yet he was still able to make accurate throws. You have to take this into account. 

Watson made a living in college on dink and dunk throws. He had a high percentage because he rarely took risks on deep throws and as for Wilson, you need look no further than his N.C. State stats where he didn't even reach 60% completions. It was only when he transferred to a school with a predominantly run based offense which utilized mainly short and mid range passes, that his completion percentage skyrocketed. You can't just look at completion percentage only. You have to look at the schemes these QB's come from. Certain offenses like the West Coast system and run based offenses utilize a high number of easy, short passes which inflate a QB's numbers. 


Luke Falk is not even on my radar. He has a weak arm and in 4 Washington State games I watched, he never even attempted a pass over 23 yards. That tells me something. He's gonna need to go to a West Coast system to find any measure of success.

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