Create Account

Jacksonville Jaguars Fan Forums Other Stuff Political Talk What's good for the goose, is good for the gander?

Board Performance Issues We are aware of performance issues on the board and are working to resolve them! The board may be intermittently unavailable during this time. (May 07) x


The Jungle is self-supported by showing advertisements via Google Adsense.
Please consider disabling your advertisement-blocking plugin on the Jungle to help support the site and let us grow!
We also show significantly less advertisements to registered users, so create your account to benefit from this!
Questions or concerns about this ad? Take a screenshot and comment in the thread. We do value your feedback.
What's good for the goose, is good for the gander?

  • Offline mikesez
    Hall of Famer

  • *******
  • Posts: 11,717
    Threads: 115
    Joined: May 2005
    Reputation: 93
#74
01-18-2019, 11:07 PM

(01-18-2019, 08:28 PM)StroudCrowd1 Wrote:
(01-18-2019, 08:19 PM)mikesez Wrote: Silver's final analysis before election day gave Hillary a 2 in 3 chance of winning the Presidency.  Everyone else had her 9 in 10 or better.  Trump getting elected was something of a fluke, with margins of around 10,000 voters in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.  He doesn't win without those states.  Polling is still a very inexact science, but no one does it better than Silver.

Sooooo, the polls were wrong?

P.S. This is where you say yes.

This is what you said:

Nate silver says you're wrong. A lot of the media misunderstood the polls. but the poles themselves were basically right, that's why Hillary won the popular vote.

The polls said that the event was unlikely. Not that it was impossible.
Given that the unlikely event happened, the best performing algorithm is the one that assigned the highest likelihood to the event that actually occurred.
That algorithm, and those polls, belonged to nate silver.
My fellow southpaw Mark Brunell will probably always be my favorite Jaguar.
Reply


Messages In This Thread
RE: What's good for the goose, is good for the gander? - by mikesez - 01-18-2019, 11:07 PM



Users browsing this thread:
1 Guest(s)

The Jungle is self-supported by showing advertisements via Google Adsense.
Please consider disabling your advertisement-blocking plugin on the Jungle to help support the site and let us grow!
We also show less advertisements to registered users, so create your account to benefit from this!
Questions or concerns about this ad? Take a screenshot and comment in the thread. We do value your feedback.

Forum software by © MyBB - Theme © iAndrew 2017

ABOUT US
The Jungle Forums is the Jaguars' biggest fan message board. Talking about the Jags since 2006, the Jungle was the team-endorsed home of all things Jaguars.

Since 2017, the Jungle is now independent of the team but still run by the same crew. We are here to support and discuss all things Jaguars and all things Duval!