(03-12-2019, 12:09 PM)JackCity Wrote:

(03-12-2019, 11:51 AM)Jaguarmeister Wrote: The above isn't really being fair to Foles.

Regular season attempts over the past two years:

Brady = 1151
Rivers = 1083
Goff = 1038
Brees = 1025
Wilson = 980
Wentz = 841
Watson = 709
Mahomes = 615

Foles = 296


His sample size is less than half of Mahomes who has 17 regular season games under his belt.  Foles only started 8 regular season games over the past 2 years.  I'd also argue that not being the week in/week out starter over an extended period of time makes this comparison unfair because he isn't getting the same amount of reps with the 1's.  His longest stretch as starter produced his best statistical results which occurred at the end of 2017 and into their Super Bowl Run.  You can dislike Foles or his deal here or both, but I wouldn't put too much stock into this particular stat comparison.

The point of the chart isn't to compare Foles to Mahomes, or any QB bar Wentz. Its specifically referring to the not uncommon opinion that Foles was either better or at least not far away from Wentz's performance in the same scheme, when in reality Wentz was miles better. Focus on the AY/A part and ratio, not the raw production.  

8 ay/a and 54:14 vs 7 ay/a and 21:11 is a massive difference in performance

I'm not saying he's better than or equal to Wentz.  What I'm saying is sprinkling 8 regular season starts over two seasons makes the exercise of trying to prove definitively he isn't better or equal to Wentz using the above stats pointless.  Again, no one has to like him just because he's our QB and there's a lot of uncertainty going forward just as there would be had we drafted someone high in the 1st round expecting them to start right away.  I think most would take Wentz over Foles if given the option.

I'm not here to be a rah rah guy for Nick Foles.  Like most, I'm hoping he excels here.  I'm of the opinion that we over paid, but I also realize you have to over pay to some extent in free agency.  I'll be very interested as more contract details are released to see how married we are to him beyond the 2020 season.  I'm hoping for a signing bonus under $25 million.  I'm not saying ignore the above comparison, I just don't find it, by itself, very compelling given the circumstances.

---