So here is the main question. What should be the expectation of a top 10 pick? of a later first round pick? of a 2nd round pick?

There seems to be general presumption on the board that to be a good franchise/GM you have to draft a star/all-pro with a top 10 pick most of the time, a pro-bowl level starter/candidate for a later 1st round pick dependent on position, etc.

But I would not be shocked if more than 60% of top 10 picks are even in the NFL after their rookie contracts. Yet, the board continues to label starter-level players drafted in the top 10 and average starter/rotational later 1st round and 2nd round players players as busts.

I totally agree the Jags have definitely been subpar drafting over the last 20 years, and not even met those standards But having a reasonable expectation/metric is important.

The list of first round draft picks is a gapping issue but mostly because there was not a good/great schemes to fit the players drafted, scouting mistakes to not recognize major character/off-field issues with some, and because many of the productive ones were allowed/spurred to leave due to power plays, bad leadership, and/or poor communication. All that comes back to Kahn, Caldwell, and (for a few years) Coughlin.

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