(04-04-2021, 12:32 PM)Upper Wrote:

(04-04-2021, 12:00 PM)SeldomRite Wrote: We saw years of what needs based drafting does to a team back in the mid 2000s when the Jaguars went from a team with a shot at going to Superbowls and having strong games against Tom Brady to a team that had about ten years of .500 or lower records.

What were the obvious needs pick and not just poorly ranked picks back then?

Another Bingo!  Many people assume that because Mel Kiper has the players ranked in some type of order that NFL teams must have the same rankings.  Need versus BAP isn't determined by Mel Kiper.  It's determined by the team's board.  The problem is teams rarely to never share their board.  As such, we never know whether it was need or BAP.  In reality, I suspect it's usually a combination.  I am a big believer in "tiers".  Outside of the top of the first round, there's not some huge drop-off from player to player.  Draft picks are educated guesses and in most cases, there are probably 5 to 10 players (or maybe more) rated roughly equal.  The team takes one of those players who also happens to fit a need. It's both value and need.

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