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A Cautionary Tale From a Champion

  • Offline Bullseye
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#26
04-06-2021, 08:27 PM

(04-06-2021, 07:19 PM)jaguarmvp Wrote: I haven't researched it but I am willing to be that at least half of all first round picks ever made were considered flops.  The truth is, no matter how much you analyze a good part of the draft is Luck.  I have seen guys the "draft gurus" and media pump up as "can't miss prospects" flat out flop.  It happens every year.

Former Washington and Houston GM Charley Casserly frequently says the percentage of players that are starters in the league drops by round.  He repeated this recently, and I can't fully remember it, but I think he was saying a second rounder has a 50% chance of becoming a starter, while a 5th or 6th rounder has maybe a 9% chance.  I have looked for a link reflecting these percentages many times but have never found it.  If I find it I will post.
 

Worst to 1st.  Curse Reversed!





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Messages In This Thread
A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Bullseye - 04-06-2021, 08:19 AM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by ATLjag - 04-06-2021, 08:52 AM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Mikey - 04-07-2021, 09:13 AM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Dimson - 04-06-2021, 12:55 PM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Mikey - 04-07-2021, 09:18 AM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Bullseye - 04-06-2021, 08:27 PM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Mikey - 04-07-2021, 09:27 AM
RE: A Cautionary Tale From a Champion - by Jag149 - 04-07-2021, 12:23 PM



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