(04-06-2022, 02:34 PM)TheO-LineMatters Wrote:

(04-06-2022, 02:12 PM)The Real Marty Wrote: Hypothetically, IF the Jags actually want to draft someone other than Hutchinson, and IF no one else knows this, don't you think the Jags would drop from #1 to #2 for very little in return?  If they're going to draft Neal anyway, for example, and they know they can either have (a) Neal at #1, or (b) Neal at #2 plus anything at all, don't you think they would take (b)? 

That's what I think a lot of people don't seem to understand.  Sure, they aren't going to get a blockbuster deal for the #1 overall pick.  But maybe they don't need a blockbuster deal for the #1 overall pick.

What if the Jags couldn't decide between Walker and Hutchinson?  Wouldn't they be willing to trade the #1 for #2 plus a 4th rounder, for example?  If the Jags don't have any value differential between the #1 and the #2 pick, then #2 plus a 4th rounder is worth more to them than the #1 overall pick.  Right?  

This stuff I hear on the radio about "Oh, no one is going to offer a blockbuster deal, so the Jags won't be trading the pick," is nonsense.  They don't need a blockbuster deal, because the #1 overall pick just isn't worth that much more than any other pick in the top, say 4 or 5 picks.

Just shoot me. We'd never get this ship turned around under that scenario. Neal isn't even the best OT in this draft.

If the Jags can't decide between Hutchinson and Walker then they are blind. Hutchinson was a great college player who put up fantastic stats, he had a terrific Combine and he has played as a 3-4 OLB and a 4-3 DE, so he fits our system. Walker put up way lesser stats, he had a terrific Combine as well, but he was a 3-4 DE in college and would have to learn to play an entirely new position. To me this is extremely clear cut. Hutchinson is without a doubt, the better prospect for this team. 

Hutchinson is clearly the #1 prospect in this draft, so if this team has any chance what so ever at ever being good in the future, they need to either draft him or hold out for a good trade where we can draft a #1 receiver and get something else big in return.

I wasn't asking you who is the best player, or whom the Jags should draft.  I was asking, IF the Jags don't see much difference between the #1 and the #2 picks, then wouldn't they be willing to make a deal for very little in return?  It's a hypothetical.  

I know you're very opinionated about this stuff, but take yourself out of it for a second.  Put yourself in the shoes of a GM who sees very little difference in value between the best player in the draft or the second best player in the draft.  If that were the case, why would they demand some blockbuster trade to drop one spot?   

So to answer the question, what would it take for the Jags to drop one spot in the draft, you have to know how they value whoever they think are the top 2 players that they want.  It may not require a blockbuster deal for the Jags to trade out of that spot.  It might require very little.

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