My inclination is 34-27 in favor of the bad guys - but this game could go down lots of different ways.

WILDCARD FACTORS:

Jags defense can be scrappy - and if the ball bounces their way a few times it could alter the predictability here.
Need to score on defense or set up the offense for some easy points.

Unfortunately - I feel like the we'll be playing against the chefs AND the zebras this week - and we'll have to be good enough to beat both of them.

Maybe, just maybe, Jones has a little rust and doesn't completely rag doll and dismantle our iOL. Probably not, but one can hope...

Does every target for Mahomes not named Kelce continue to struggle? Also doubtful, but again, one can hope...

Pacheco - Jags need a plan here. He was a major factor in continuing scoring drives for the chefs in each of the Jags last two losses. That drive that everyone keeps saying "Henne led them down the field" about? That was 70% Pacheco.
Keep him from getting hot and extending multiple drives - and things shift a bit.

Swagnew: A couple of big returns / a ST score / or maybe even one of those gadget plays goes to the house?
We need help from every facet of this roster worthy of touches. He can alter momentum. We've seen it.

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