Agreed it would be more satisfying to run the gauntlet than to get favorable matchups in the playoffs. But 10 years from now nobody remembers who you beat, only if you won the super bowl or not. We're a long way from that though.

As far as #1 seed, feels like 5-1 down the stretch is the minimum. Hard to predict with so many weeks left and so many potential tiebreak scenarios (2 way tie, 3 way tie, 4 way tie, etc...). As it stands now KC has the best conference record and they beat both us and Miami so they are in the driver seat for tiebreakers. Bal doesnt play KC but has games against us and Miami remaining. For now easier to assume we need to finish ahead of KC which means they need to lose one more game than us. At GB this weekend could be sneaky hard. Next game is home against Buffalo who is good enough to beat anyone and bad enough defensively to lose to anyone. After that KC has NE, LV, Cin, LAC. Possible they could slip up in any of those games but have to assume they'd win them if they need to.

As far as Baltimore, at first glance you'd think we would have to beat them to get home field however their schedule down the stretch is rough. Bye this week, home against Rams, then at Jax, at SF, home Miami, home Pittsburgh. They could easily lose 2 of those games even if they beat us. But realistically we can't rely on that.

And then Miami has 3 easier games upcoming at Was and then home against Ten and the Jets. But finish with Dal, at Bal, and Buffalo. Could easily lose any of those games. Wouldnt surprise me if they lose at least two. I'd be surprised if they finished higher than 12-5.

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