(12-06-2023, 05:27 PM)Jagger Wrote:

(12-05-2023, 01:32 PM)WingerDinger Wrote: https://twitter.com/Noles247/status/1732...ykx_A&s=19

This is stupid. Should Notre Dame sue for finishing #2 to FSU in 1993 after ND had beaten them head-to-head and they both had 1 loss? What about an undefeated Auburn team for getting left out of the 2004 BCS for an overrated Big 12 team that got the [BLEEP] kicked out of them in the championship? UCF...TCU and Baylor in 2014. Utah in 2004? This happens all the time. Teams get screwed. Suing isn't the solution. The solution is what starts next year...a 12-team playoff. Of course, now the #13 team will want to sue.

I feel bad for FSU (although as a Notre Dame fan who got screwed in 1993, I think it's karma). But Alabama deserved to be in. The issue, IMO, was they put too much stock into head-to-head with Bama and Texas, and because Bama got in, the committee felt they had to put Texas in. I also think Washington shouldn't get a free pass here. Yeah, they're undefeated, but outside of beating Oregon, their schedule is crap, and they beat some really [BLEEP] teams by a hair.

So, in my opinion, Michigan and Alabama were the only two assurances. The debate should have been more about FSU, Texas, or Washington, and I do think there's a case for FSU being of 1 of the 3.

That said, if Georgia beat Alabama, I would risk my entire mortgage that the final 4 would have been 1) Georgia 2) Michigan 3) Washington 4) FSU. The only reason Texas in in right now is because they committee felt they had to put them in with the head-to-head w/Bama. Texas beat a really bad Okla State in the Big 12 title, and they move up 4 spots? That makes no sense.

Everything you said is accurate.  
I'm a UCF fan.  If you're comparing two unbeaten teams, and you don't want to apply bias or history, all you can look at is how many wins each team they beat has.  If UCF goes unbeaten and they had two ten-win teams on their schedule, and two two-win teams on their schedule, are they better than an unbeaten team that had four six win teams on their schedule? The Colley Matrix says yes.  And that's great for UCF's 2017 team.  But if a conference has one excellent team and ten really good, equally good teams, you're likely to get a situation where the excellent team goes unbeaten and the really good, equally good teams all knock each other down to 6-6 records. The Colley Matrix would punish that unbeaten team. The Colley Matrix kind of assumes that a conference has talent gaps between each team, and thats not reality.  But it's still the only unbiased tool anyone has ever come up with.

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