(01-17-2024, 11:28 AM)cland Wrote: Here's a post I made in 3-2022:

cland Wrote:I mentioned the following in another thread: Hopefully Pederson can iron that out, and I think he has to be a success with the Jaguars.  My concern with Pederson is that he has to turn Lawrence into a Nick Foles type of QB.  A guy that can run his offense, but becomes very readable after a season or a few games for the NFL defenses.

Thought I would expand on the above, with a reference to the ?Tedford Factor.  Jeff Tedford QBs in college were taught a system that limited their ability to read the defense across the whole field post-snap, narrowing or eliminating their window to find open off-script receivers.  In college the QB system worked great, getting 5 Tedford QBs selected highly in the NFL draft, only to find that their ability to read the field in an NFL offense were lacking.  

This was my concern in the previous post, and something I thought was relevant to the Jags (having traded for Nick Foles.)  If Pederson has to continually simplify the offense to fit Trevor Lawrence's skill set (or lack there of) he may get some increases in production, but for a short time.  NFL defenses will be able to solve the pre-read play calling.  I would say that in the NFL off-script plays are a necessity, which is why QBs like Mahomes and Josh Allen are so successful.

The above post was made in terms of Trevor's inability to read the field if his first option is covered, and I think the bolded point can be applied to the playcalling debate.  If a play-call has the first option open, then Trevor certainly has all the talents to deliver the ball.  But if the defense covers the first option and you have a QB that can't progress through the remaining options quickly then your offense will be much more readable.

Having an OL that can't provide enough time certainly doesn't help matters, but elite QBs can pick up a defense via motion/line-up/and game tape to reorder the option list and shorten the pocket time needed.  Some of the best plays have a man/zone/blitz-beater built in, but it only works if your QB and WRs reads and execution are all on the same page.

"here's something I said this one time that only applies to maybe 10% of the pass plays Trevor misses on" 

Trevor's tape is chock full of plays where he looks off safeties, calls audibles to counter blitzes, alerts receivers of options when manned up, and makes multiple reads.

You can also find plenty of stuff designed to go to a primary target where he plays hero ball with coverage instead of checking down quickly enough - if at all. He can get better there. He needs to get better there and year 3 would have been the perfect time for him to do so. He still struggles with it a bit but it isn't some overarching hindrance to his play or to the Jags offense.

Give the kid another 1/4 second to process reads behind a line he can actually trust so he doesn't speed up the internal clock - and this conversation goes away completely.

Not to mention Trevor's 13.3 yards per attempt in play action. What if they had a line that let them run that more than 40 times on the season? 

The only simplification that needs to happen in this offense lies within the run scheme.

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