(03-20-2024, 10:03 AM)Jag88 Wrote: The jags can absolutely get a great wr at 17iif Balkie chooses so.

Many prospects don't reach the draft prognosticators' expectations. Sure, the draft publications will laud a team for picking a player who meets a need and award them an "A" after the draft. The team's owner might even feel good about it, too. But it's meaningless. I'm not sold on Odunze, Mitchell, or Thomas being can't miss prospects. They all have knocks against them. GMs should only select a particular player if they have strong convictions about him. 

The prognosticators urge GMs to move up to take a QB among the "five" QB prospects deemed 1st round worthy. Any will do -- just pick one. But typically only 2/5 will actually be starters five years later. It's much the same with any position group. McCarthy, Nix, and Penix each have red flags. Even Maye and Daniels aren't sure things. 

Needs based drafting dooms teams who cave in to the need to pick the "need." It got Dave Caldwell fired. He "needed" a CB and an edge rusher to replace the ones lost. So, he picked players with consensus 1st round grades. His scouting was obviously off. He probably would have had better luck picking higher-rated players whose positions aren't as strong a need.

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