(04-28-2024, 07:51 PM)jj82284 Wrote:

(04-28-2024, 07:17 PM)I am Yoda Wrote: That’s pretty much my take on it. Guys who are too in love with their own intellect need to step back. I try to do that in my life. (Don’t always succeed.) Even if I thought I was smarter than everyone else in the room, it would be dumb to assume that if everyone else doesn’t see it my way, I’m the one who’s right and they’re wrong.

How is that Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Philly, and now Chargers, seem to get it consistently right?  Our next GM needs to be poached from one of them.


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Bro.   Pittsburgh just missed on a qb.

Draft is all about probabilities. You won't hit on every pick. It's impossible. But not all draft strategies are equal. Over time some teams, such as the steelers, for example, are better than others. And it bears out in their record. Only one losing season since the turn of the century. 

The absolute first criteria, especially for early picks, should be were you a really good college football player. Were you rated highly based on your performance on the field and not because you tested well. If you weren't a really good college player that's just one more variable and unknown you have to speculate about.

Our first rounder was a good college football player. Our second wasn't. Maybe the injury set him back who knows but he wasn't that good. Our third was solid but the testing shot him up draft boards. Maybe the tape didn't tell the story. Maybe his flaws, such as bad tackling, can be fixed. But again it's all about the probabilities. Any of these guys could end up a hall of famer but what are the odds.

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