Quote:Why do you care about statistics dating from November 11, 2012? That date does not mean anything except they played on Veterans Day.


The only statistics that matter are those from this season. A different Bengals team lost to San Diego in the playoffs. A different Bengals team lost to Dallas in 2012.


How good are they at home in 2014? They would be undefeated there if Mike Nugent had not missed that chip shot attempt. On the road they have a losing record (1-2). They also are undefeated against divisional opponents, have a winning record in the AFC (3-2), and would be undefeated in non-conference games if Nugent had made his game-ending attempt. That miss against the Panthers also prevented them from breaking even on points, so they gave up one three more points than they scored.

JW,, I went back that far (NOV 2012) to illustrate that over the last 2 full seasons for them in Cincy (halfway through this season + all of last season + last half of 2012) they have only lost 2 games out of the last 17 home appearences.


It is basically the same Bengals team as last season and even the season prior (except that alot of their key players were much younger).


They have developed a real home field advantage there lately.

Their road games have nothing to do with it, since the Jags are playing in Cincy.


The reason their total points are skewed is because of those two embarrassing ROAD game blowouts to the Patriots and Colts.


They have not been on the losing side at home all year, which puts them at a very positive score differential in CINCY. They blew out the Titans and beat the Falcons handily.


IMO, the only way the Jags can win this week is if basically the Bengals do alot of dumb mistakes (similar to the Browns vs Jags this year).

If the Bengals don't get alot of stupid penalties (Andre Smith, Gresham, Burfict are terrible with that), they don't needlessly turn the ball over (Gresham, Tate, Dalton are certainly capable of turnovers), and Nugent doesn't choke on his FG attempts (he has not been very good this year),, the Bengals will win.


I think it'll be close. But, it'll take the Bengals shooting themselves in the foot alot for a Jags win.

The Bengals are certainly capable of "Bungling," but a I really don't expect that in Cincy.


We'll see.

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