Plus Tampa Bay has played 3 division games already.

 

Jacksonville has played only 1 division game.

 

Since you play divisional opponents twice, every time you play a game against a division rival and lose, you add 2 more opponent wins to your combined strength of schedule. 

 

That means we're in trouble if we finish with the same record as Tampa Bay. Getting the tiebreaker is not impossible, but I wouldn't bet on it. We need to out lose them if we want the #1 pick. They must win a game.

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