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Global Warming, er Climate Change is a National Security Threat


Quote:If the people recording the temperatures are gradually changing from afternoon readings to morning readings, it seems entirely reasonable to say that there needs to be an adjustment to account for that. That is one example of the adjustments that have been made to some of the historical temperature records. They're not cooking the books, they're just trying to get a fair and accurate record which is not affected by various changes in location or time of day or any other factor that affects comparability.

<a class="bbc_url" href='http://judithcurry.com/2014/07/07/understanding-adjustments-to-temperature-data/'>http://judithcurry.com/2014/07/07/understanding-adjustments-to-temperature-data/</a>


"Having worked with many of the scientists in question, I can say with certainty that there is no grand conspiracy to artificially warm the earth; rather, scientists are doing their best to interpret large datasets with numerous biases such as station moves, instrument changes, time of observation changes, urban heat island biases, and other so-called inhomogenities that have occurred over the last 150 years. Their methods may not be perfect, and are certainly not immune from critical analysis, but that critical analysis should start out from a position of assuming good faith and with an understanding of what exactly has been done."
 

Yes, and neither did I disagree that TOBS adjustments weren't warranted, nor did I claim a conspiracy. The problem I have with TOBS, as I stated before, is that they just add the same average adjustment (that someone calculated based on a small fraction of the sites) to every site. Instead, they should perform the adjustments on a site by site basis where they first determine the magnitude of the effect of the time change at that specific site, and then make the adjustment starting at the date the site changed it's time of observation.


 

The other main problem I have with the adjustments, is that any adjustment that gives what the scientist expects (in this case warming) is given far less scrutiny than one that gives the opposite (cooling). Why don't the adjustments average out to zero? Why is the TOBS adjustment so much bigger than the UHI (urban heat island) adjustment? It's very suspicious that the adjustments just happen to push things in the same direction as the initial theory.





                                                                          

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Global Warming, er Climate Change is a National Security Threat - by MalabarJag - 06-05-2015, 01:24 PM



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