Quote:Well the schedules in the NFL are so uniform that within a division there are only two games that are different.  And to determine the record of common opponents, the easiest thing to do is back out the "uncommon" games.  Our two uncommon teams the Colts and Texans dont play are the Ravens and Chargers.  And if we beat the Chargers this weekend we'll be 2-0 in those games.  Lets say we finish the year tied with the Texans at 8-8; in common games we'll be 6-8 after you back out those two wins.  The Texans however are 1-1 in their two (L-Chiefs, W-Bengals), so they'd be 7-7 in common games and thus win the tiebreaker.  The Colts have a W against the Broncos and still have that tough road game at the Steelers, which I'm sure most of us think they'll lose, so they'd also be 1-1.  


It's a funny nuance of how the tiebreakers work.  Obviously at 4-6 we need to win every single game we can.  I just think to win the division, we'll need to be 9-7.  I think we only win a tiebreaker against the Colts or Texans if they not only lose enough games to finish tied with us, but if they to lose to very specific teams.  Although hopefully they both cave and finish at 6-10 or 7-9.