Bama-Florida...  If Grier was playing, I'd think this was a 50/50 matchup.  Obviously McElwain and Saban are very familiar with each other.  I'm sure McElwain knows how to attack the Bama defense.  it wouldnt surprise me if he had a few wrinkles in store for this.  But I just dont think the Gators can score enough.  Harris stinks.

 

Iowa-Mich St - no idea what to think.  The only outcome that would surprise me if it was a huge blowout in either direction.

 

Who gets in....

 

The obvious four:

- Oklahoma is obviously in.  

- Winner of Iowa-Mich St is in... loser is out. 

- If Bama wins, they are in, if they lose they are out.  

- If Clemson wins, they are in... and Im not sure they are necessarily out with a loss.  If Bama/Stanford also lose, I think two ACC teams are in.

 

Teams that need help:

- Ohio St... I think they need a Bama loss, a Stanford loss, and a Clemson win... I'm not convinced they get in over a conference champion Stanford even though the Cardinal have the 2 losses.  And I absolutely dont see any circumstance where they as a 1 loss non-conference champion should give in over Clemson if they become a 1 loss non-conference champion.  Ohio St's resume really isnt that great.  One really good win over Michigan.  But an ugly loss at home to Mich St's backup QB.  Very few top 25 wins.

- North Carolina - I could argue that a win over Clemson should be enough.  Couple that with a Bama loss and they may be a lock.  But assuming Bama wins, lets say NC wins a really ugly squeaker, while Stanford hammers USC... I could see Stanford getting the nod over them.  Carolina didnt play anyone while Stanford's schedule and losses are better.  But it would really depend on how both teams look.

- Stanford -  If they win big and Bama loses, I think they're in.  Not sure a 1 loss Ohio St gets in over them.  And would the committee put in two ACC teams over them?  Let say Bama wins and Clemson loses, would the committee put Stanford in ahead of the ACC?  As said above if UNC wins an ugly squeaker but Stanford looks great, then maybe.

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