I had this up in another thread. Since its relevant i will paste.

 

The magic number is 8. Houston could lose to Tennessee, the Texans offense is down right atrocious at times and Indy is getting luck back, who has been awful this year. If we can somehow pull out Wins against Atlanta and  New Orleans we are playing for the South week 17.

 

This is the Scenario per NFL playoff predictor.

 

Week 15, Jags beat Atlanta

Colts or Texans (if the Texans win and we tie 8-8 records we hold the tiebreaker according to nfl.com if we beat them week 17) I have Indy winning though.

 

Week 16, Jags over New Orleans

Need a favor from Miami to beat Indy. Miami over Indy.

-If Houston loses to Indy they CAN win this game if we win out, otherwise we need 2 big favors from the Titans over 2 weeks, this would be the first.

Houston beats Tennessee

 

Week 17 Jags and Houston in a showdown for the south, Jags over Houston.

The Colts win or lose would be 6-10 or 7-9 and out of contention in this scenario and its puts us against the Texans where we control our own destiny.

 

So cheer for Miami, Houston to beat Indy, and hope the tacks can steal a win from Houston and/or Indy. If they do that it would help tremendously but since its unlikely I have them losing both games. To me, this is the most likely scenario for the Jags to get in via the division.

---