Right now, I think the EU will shove Britain out the door and slam it behind them, to discourage other states from opting out. They will want to make it as painful as possible for the UK, to make an example out of them.


Reason being, to avoid a massive bank run. For example, if the people of Italy think they are about to opt out, they will want to get their Euros out of the bank before they get forcibly converted to Lira.


Then, as that is going on, I think in the next Parliamentary election, the big issue will be "do we follow the referendum or not." I think the "remain" forces will win the election, claim a mandate to stay in the EU, and then there will be massive chaos as the Brexit supporters will feel betrayed.


Politicians being pretty slick, the anti-Brexit forces will push the EU for reforms, they will get half a loaf, and then they will proclaim victory and the U.K. will remain in the EU.

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