Quote:Yes, that is true.  But Republicans do manage it all the time, so I'm not sure how effective that blue wall is.  

 

It's not a guarantee by any means.  There hasn't been a Republican win a majority of the popular vote and loose the electoral college in the last 40 years, in fact quite the opposite with bush in 00.  However, when you take a step back you see that the Dems have won 4 of the last 6 electoral colleges and the two losses didn't allow their opponent to break 289 (bushes total from 04)

 

Take this year for example, it's completely possible that Trump could have a 2-4% popular vote advantage and still be hoping and praying for the last 6 electoral votes while that kind of advantage for Clinton would probably put her well into the 300's. 

 

I think it can be broken.  I think that the polling out of Michigan Minnesota and even Wisconsin suggests cracks in the BLUE WALL but the general demographic shift and entrenched liberal support in some states does present a systemic problem for republican nominees. 

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