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Crazy, unfounded theory that's just wacky enough to make sense

#46

Quote:IBD/TIPP is a good poll. Most accurate? No not really. But a good poll as are many others.

<a class="bbc_url" href='http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/'>http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/</a>
 

Actually, they were the most accurate in recent elections.  It's in the very link I provided.

 

What you've got there is cute, but it really doesn't speak to recent elections alone as I did.  And, they "grade" on more than just accuracy, which I would wager is to prop some of their favorites.  Similar to what some of the computer modelers did with the old college football ranking system.  Throw in other analytics and weighted items to ensure your favorite team gets a nice boost.  Working backwards to get a desired outcome.  Which, is also what some of the climate fraudsters do as well...

 

The only meaningful measure to me is accuracy.  Whatever the pollsters did to come to that outcome is measured by the outcome itself.  Methodology, etc. needs not to be measured, then weighted back in artificially.  The results are the results.  No need to fudge them with added measures that reflect subjective opinion.

 

It's simple - were they accurate or not?  IBD/TIPP has been most accurate lately in Presidential elections.

"You do your own thing in your own time. You should be proud."
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Crazy, unfounded theory that's just wacky enough to make sense - by pirkster - 11-02-2016, 12:02 PM



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