The chances of getting a true "franchise quarterback" after the 1st round are extremely low. In looking at a list of quarterbacks drafted since the year 2000, these are the success stories:

Drew Brees (2nd)

Russell Wilson (3rd)

Kirk Cousins (4th) Borderline franchise qb

Tom Brady (6th) A total anomaly which likely won't happen again for another 20 years.


It is true that there have also been many first round busts, but the chances of getting a franchise quarterback in the draft go down immeasurably after round 1. Bottom line is that a quarterback needy team who has at least a mid-1st round pick needs to go for even though they will be highly criticized if the player fails. It's very hard for me to imagine that there won't be at least 2 quarterbacks from the class of 2019 who eventually become quality (if not elite) starters. It is the job of the team's high-priced general manager and scouting staff to find the right guy. No doubt some luck is involved in addition to whether that player goes to a team which surrounds him with other quality players at other positions. After failing with Leftwich, Gabbert and Bortles (yes, I'd call him a bad pick at this point), maybe the 4th time will be the charm.

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