(02-20-2020, 01:44 PM)Caldrac Wrote:

(02-20-2020, 01:14 PM)Cleatwood Wrote: Speak for yourself.

I am at least .366 career average wise around here when it comes to the 1st round. Ty Cobb would be proud. I think I have been posting on here since I was 15 years old. So a solid 16 years. We've all had our fair share of debates over the years. Especially around draft time. 

I don't think I was on here in 2003. Didn't speak on the Leftwich draft. But we obviously missed out there. But this is exactly what I wanted in each draft's first round since 2004 or if I missed it I missed it.

2004 - Kenechi Udeze - DE - Career cut short due to disease.
2005 - Heath Miller - TE - Excellent player for the Steelers.
2006 - DeAngelo Williams - RB - Carolina drafted him before we could. Lewis was a nice pick - up. MJD was fine at RB in RD2. 
2007 - No comment - Can't remember if I had the ban hammer for awhile this year. LOL. 
2008 - No comment - Can't remember again. 
2009 - Was high on Alex Mack or Michael Crabtree that year. Was okay with Eugene Monroe. 
2010 - Liked C.J Spiller, Brandon Graham & JPP that year. Alualu was overdrafted by a country mile. 
2011 - Was sold on Ryan Kerrigan that year. He's no J.J Watt. But he sure as hell plays better than Blaine "Sunshine" Gabbert did at QB. 
2012 - I was high on Luke Kuechly and Fletcher Cox that year. Womp. Womp. Womp. We got the DUI fueled Blackmon instead. Waste of talent. 
2013 - Wanted Ziggy Ansah at DE that year. Didn't like Jokel at LT. 
2014 - I liked Mike Evans or Jake Matthews that year. Didn't know who Bortles was honestly. 
2015 - Wanted Amari Cooper or Leonard Williams. They took the tweener instead and shipped him off to L.A. 
2016 - Ramsey was and still is the best pick there. Even though he's in L.A now. 
2017 - Wanted CMC or Watson over Fournette. Either option would have been better. 
2018 - Wanted Michel, Chubb or Lamar Jackson. Didn't know who Bryan was honestly. 
2019 - Liked Josh Jacobs which I knew was unrealistic then. Was convinced we would land either Ed Oliver or T.J Hockenson or select a QB maybe. Happy Josh Allen fell.

I honestly didn't follow the draft that closely until 2008 (when we traded away everything for 2 failed pass rushers). I really would have to do some digging to find all the picks I liked or wanted but I remember thinking in 2011 sitting at 16 iirc and getting Kerrigan would have been nice...Instead we traded up and missed on Gabbert. Definitely remember liking Cooper in '15 but also defended the Fowler pick.
In 2016 I called getting Jack in the 2nd after his injury (whether that was a good thing or not remains to be seen lol) Also remember saying Yan would be a nice pick in the 3rd round.... which has worked out well so far.
As far as first rounders go... I think I was on the Khalil Mack train the Bortles year.
I definitely wanted CmC in 17
Some of my big misses of recent years was Watson is a dud. Mason Rudolph is gonna be a stud. And any defense I ever had of any Gene pick lol

I think anyone who isn't actually in the football biz that can guess a good career on a football player anywhere near 25% is doing pretty good. Most professional GMs are probably closer to 50% than they are to 100... With many bombing in their careers.
That's because it's a bit of a crapshoot. Injuries, legal troubles, scheme, coaching, draft position etc all goes into whether that player turns out to be a success or not.

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