(05-04-2020, 03:59 PM)jaguarmvp Wrote:

(05-04-2020, 11:32 AM)rufftime Wrote: We won 6 games last year in a [BLEEP] show of distractions and injuries.  I think it is likely we beat that record.  We aren't a good team, aren't a bad team.  It feels like we will end up in the middle somewhere.  The schedule is top heavy, but there are a lot of winnable match-ups.

7-9 to 9-7 based on luck and some players taking positive steps in their development.

Many have this logic and I am not saying you are wrong but I do not undestand it?

We were 6-10 last year so we are going to get more wins this year?   The math does not add up.

The Jags are a much less talented team in 2020 than 2019.  Rookies are playing key roles right away in 2020 and that is almost never good.  

Doing the math the equation is the problem:  2020 Jags (less talent) vs 2020 schedule (more difficult) = more wins?

Our offense should be improved since we lost almost nothing on that side and added a large improvement at coordinator. On offense rookie contributions are Shenault in the rotation at receiver and Bartch as a swing tackle.

On defense I take your point, but I am optimistic the cultural shift will have a large impact here. I envision much better performance against the run, and much better play from the LB group. Pass rush feels like it will at least stay at league average and could be excellent if Yan plays under the tag. Defensive secondary is a concern as another poster noted with Henderson starting as a rookie. Other rookie contributors are Chaisson and Hamilton, beyond that I don't think anyone makes a big splash unless they are good enough to supplant a starter.

I guess what I am saying is I don't see huge losses from last year outside of Campbell, Bouye, and Yan (hopefully we have one more year of him). The biggest differences I see are improved offensive gameplanning/ adjustments and a year to improve for some of the young contributors. We also won't have as much distraction potential with Ramsey and TC out of the picture.

I only see 3 games next year that are against teams out of our reach (Vikings, Packers, Ravens) and these are all away games. The remaining 13 games are winnable in my opinion with 8 winnable home games.

I am not expecting playoffs, I am not expecting complete implosion leading to number one pick. I think we are just OK.

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