(09-14-2020, 04:15 PM)mikesez Wrote:

(09-13-2020, 07:23 AM)jj82284 Wrote: So you admit then that it goes beyond pbcolicy decisions to analyze drivers of infection and mortality in a pandemic.  Good.  I was worried for a second.

You can still make a prediction of what would have happened if Trump did something differently.  You just have to preface that prediction with "all else being equal..." Then you have to acknowledge that other players may have made different choices after Trump made his different choice.  For instance, if Trump made perfect decisions with regard to the coronavirus, all else being equal, that could result in Joe Biden choosing not to make the virus a campaign issue at all.