(03-31-2021, 10:39 AM)Bullseye Wrote: (03-31-2021, 07:43 AM)Sneakers Wrote: You're right, the have to be sold on at least 3 QBs to make that kind of move. That being said, does it make sense to pay that much, then sit the guy for a year?
I don't think the early first round trading is close to done. The Jets are the wild card, are they happy with Darnold? For that matter, are the Lions convinced Goff will develop? Denver needs a QB and Carolina is desperate.
I can see the #6 changing hands again. The Dolphins could be make out like bandits in this draft! Drop back a couple more spots and still get their #1 target. Could as many as 5 QBs go in the first 9 picks?
One last thought. What if the Dolphins aren't sold on Tagovailoa. They could be high on Lance or Jones, but expect him to be 4th or 5th QB taken, which most experts and mocks predict. If they trade back to 8th or 9th and take a QB, it will be the rope-a-dope of the century.
As I've said in another post, I am not dissuaded or deterred by the prospect of sitting a QB for his first year if I thought he would be a long term answer at the position. Too many great QBs have sat for most or all of their rookie years and went on to have hall of fame careers.
I agree with you there is a good chance there will be one more trade for a QB in the top ten. It very well could be the Dolphins trading back from 6 to 8 or 9. But I see that happening only one of two ways: 1. Atlanta doesn't take a QB at 4. If they don't, then chances are they trade out of that spot. 2. Mac Jones is the apple of some team's eye and is the 5th QB with a first round grade. While I don't necessarily see Mac Jones as a top ten QB pick, the Carolina brass worked with him at the Senior Bowl. They could value him enough to move up to make sure they get him.
I don't think Miami has necessarily soured on Tua, and I think they would be making a mistake if they were. Nobody seems to be soured on Joe Burrow. Tua's numbers are virtually identical to his, and he doesn't have anywhere near the skill position support that Burrow has in Cincy. That said, prior to all of the off field stuff, Watson represented a rare opportunity to substantially upgrade the QB position. I think accumulating all of these future first round picks enables Miami to do several things:
1. The picks give them ammo to trade for Watson in the future once all the legal issues clear up;
2. Those picks enable the Dolphins to give Tua the surrounding talent he needs if they decide to stick with him;
3. If Watson's legal issues are not cleared to the Dolphins' satisfaction and no trade for him happens, and they somehow sour on Tua, the picks better enable them the ability to trade up in future drafts to get another QB.
It depends who the QB is sitting behind of course. The problem is you don't find out if he really is the future for another year.
I see the Jets taking Wilson (unless someone offers up a kings ransom) and Fields goes to San Francisco. #4 gets interesting and I think Atlanta will get a few phone calls (the first 4 picks all QBs???). Regardless, they stick with Ryan and Cincinnati gets either Sewell or Pitts. Burrow is already excited!
Miami is a big winner, taking the guy they wanted anyway, Ja'marr Chase, at #6 instead of 3.
Panthers plan to settle for Lance get blown up when the Lions make a surprise move, trading #7 to the Bears or the Patriots.
When you get into the endzone, act like you've been there before.