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The Case For Evan Neal at 1
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(02-25-2022, 01:40 AM)TheO-LineMatters Wrote:(02-25-2022, 01:15 AM)Jag149 Wrote: Everyone seems to be discussing 3 players. Hutch, Thibs and Neal. All 3 may very well be good players in time. The way I see it Hutch disappeared when he played against a stout SEC line both times this year. (Alabama and Georgia) Thibs played in the PAC-10 not know this year for its superior offensive lines. It was a shame he did not play against Ohio State, but against Utah he had 8 tackles over the span of 2 games. These guys will face much better competition as rookies so I would set my expectations lower for these guys if we draft them. Will they be good in time? Yea maybe so, but I do not expect they are the silver bullet to cure all our pass rush issues. It is flawed to say drafting one of them will make our offense better. Yea, my bad. I was thinking of the Orange bowl last year and typed Alabama as well as Georgia. What I deserve for not proof reading. Main point is anyone we pick at #1 will take some time to contribute. There is no "stud in a box just add water" in this draft. I am hoping free agency and cap issues will allow us to snatch up some solid linemen.
A new broom always sweeps clean.
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(02-25-2022, 02:14 PM)Jag149 Wrote:(02-25-2022, 01:40 AM)TheO-LineMatters Wrote: Michigan didn't play Alabama last season. They only played Georgia. I don't know if I completely agree with that.
02-26-2022, 12:05 PM
(This post was last modified: 02-26-2022, 12:06 PM by Upper. Edited 2 times in total.)
More evidence that you don't need to spend elite capital to get a good enough line to win a super bowl.
Tag Cam and move to RT, re-sign Shatley to be a top shelf backup IOL for when Linder gets hurt, get two more starting IOL between FA and day 2 draft pick (I prefer just paying two IOL). There is our good enough oline, especially since we know Trevor will make the line look even better than it already is.
(02-26-2022, 12:05 PM)Upper Wrote: More evidence that you don't need to spend elite capital to get a good enough line to win a super bowl. So, Day 1= 1 round Day 2 = 2 rounds Day 3= 4 rounds. Of course there will be more in those rounds lol (02-26-2022, 01:16 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: So, Day 1= 1 round Yet all of the talk is that if we don't take OT at 1 then Trevor is going to be ruined when the stats show that you can get super bowl caliber OL all throughout the draft and through FA or a tradel. That's why I keep giving my outline to fix the OL without having to go overboard using the #1 pick on an OL. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (02-26-2022, 02:20 PM)Upper Wrote:(02-26-2022, 01:16 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: So, Day 1= 1 round Agreed. Plenty of opportunities with those sixth round picks to package up and land a potential starter or two in RD4 or RD5 if they really like a player. ![]() "What do I know of cultured ways, the gilt, the craft and the lie? I, who was born in a naked land and bred in the open sky. The subtle tongue, the sophist guile, they fail when the broadswords sing; Rush in and die, dogs - I was a man before I was a king."
02-26-2022, 04:20 PM
(This post was last modified: 02-26-2022, 04:23 PM by flgatorsandjags. Edited 1 time in total.)
(02-26-2022, 02:20 PM)Upper Wrote:(02-26-2022, 01:16 PM)flgatorsandjags Wrote: So, Day 1= 1 round Ok, I guess I missed all the talk that if we don't take a tackle at 1 Trevor will be ruined. There's multiple ways you can go about it and win. To me, take the BPA gives you the best chance. If they feel Neal is the best player then take him, If they feel one of the pass rushers is the best then take them. It's not hard, it just depends on which player they have rated higher
(02-23-2022, 08:31 PM)Bullseye Wrote:(02-22-2022, 10:57 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: He warrants consideration, but I wouldn't make him my pick. I start with BAP. People are entitled to their opinion, but there seems to be a consensus among most that Neal is not BAP at #1. I saw a 2022 NFL prospect tracker with 8 different sites. Not one of them had Neal as the BAP. Not one. Only two had him second. Hutch, on the other hand, was #1 in five of those sites. While Neal is often being mocked to Jacksonville, many of them appear to be doing it largely on perceived need and sometimes ignorance. I heard one mock drafter on the radio (who projected Neal to the Jaguars) being asked "Why not just franchise Cam Robinson?" and he was a complete deer in the headlights and just stuttered trying to find words to say. It was obvious he hadn't even considered it. I doubt he considered the Walker Little factor either. Many of these professional mock drafters study the draft prospects in detail, but they often don't know the situation in all 32 teams and that's often multiplied by 10 with the Jaguars. I agree that eight professional sports analysts can be wrong, but so can you and me and everyone else. If I was GM, I would watch every single snap of Neal, Hutchinson and Thibodeaux (among others). I admit that I haven't done that. However, from the snaps I did view, I personally saw nothing to lead me to believe that those eight people are all wrong. Did you? Do you consider Neal to be BAP? If so, do you think he's significantly better than the next best player? In regards to our current, offensive line, no, I don't think that we shouldn't try to upgrade. I just think it is misleading to make your opening argument turnover when the reality is that with the franchise tag, 4 out of 5 starting offensive linemen from last year can be forced to return next year. There's no guarantee the fifth won't either. We have plenty of salary cap. We could likely retain Norwell if wanted. Norwell also plays guard and not tackle. As such, I don't see a possible departure by left guard Norwell to be a compelling argument to draft a tackle with our #1 overall pick. As far as Bartch, I am not "quite pleased" with Bartch. I just acknowledged that he was the Jaguars best right guard last year and that he remains under contract for this year. I did say that he clearly outplayed Cann, but I consider that a low bar to jump over as I thought Cann played terrible last year. I just don't think you are making a compelling argument that Neal is a need because a right guard is a free agent when: 1. Our best right guard from last year is not a free agent. 2. Neal wouldn't play guard so he would do nothing to improve that position anyways. You also spend a great deal of time talking about interior offensive line, right tackle, wide receiver, tight end, etc. and how we didn't focus on the right areas in free agency last year. I agree with most of what you say, but what relevance does any of it have to this conversation? The need question is edge versus left tackle. That's it. If we need an edge more than left tackle, then edge is the bigger need. If the edge is also BAP, then it's case closed on which position to take. In regards to versatility, I was specifically speaking about offensive line. I go back to my Boselli example. If Boselli had the versatility to be an excellent guard or right tackle, how would that have changed his career? It wouldn't. If he was a terrible guard and right tackle, how would that have changed his career? It wouldn't. Why would I care about whether a player can play a position when I no plans to use him there? If I draft an offensive lineman with the first overall pick in the draft, he better be my best offensive lineman. My best offensive lineman is going to play left tackle. The position is far more valuable than right tackle or interior offensive lineman. If we don't think Neal can win the job at left tackle, then he shouldn't be our pick. Maybe you disagree, but I don't draft right tackle or interior offense line with the #1 overall pick. The positional value just isn't there. I've seen you and others mention Ogden and I see very little connection. Ogden was an elite prospect on a completely different tier than Neal. If there was a clone of Ogen available in the draft, I would take him and we wouldn't be having this conversation. In regards to him playing guard, that was one year as a stop gap measure under a set of circumstances that don't currently exist with the Jaguars. Ogden wasn't the first overall pick. He was the fourth overall pick. The Ravens didn't know in advance that he would be available. Another team could have easily taken him. As such, it was reasonable for the Ravens to have a starting left tackle on their roster. I'm sure that they would have loved to have traded Tony Jones immediately following the draft, but player for player trades in the NFL are rare. They could have traded him for draft picks, but those wouldn't be until the next year. As such, they decided to keep him for the season and then traded him the following off-season so Ogden could move to tackle and spend the rest of his career there. It was a one year stop gap that was immediately addressed the first opportunity that they could. I don't have a problem with that. It's a completely different situation than using the #1 overall pick to draft Neal to play guard or right tackle for the long term because he isn't good enough to beat a left tackle that we already had on the roster. In regards to rounds 2 through 4, I agree with you that we are unlikely to find a good starting left tackle there. Our disagreement appears to be that you seem to feel we must draft a left tackle this year while I don't. We just drafted Walker Little last year. We might already have our answer on the roster. When you are a 3-14 team, a player being a "might" ranks pretty low on the list of needs when you have a bunch "won'ts". You say he's a question mark, but that's a good reason to have a stop gap and we fortunately have one readily available in Cam Robinson. While I don't love Cam as our long term answer at left tackle, I don't think he's so incredibly bad that we couldn't use him for one more year while we find out the truth about Little. I also don't put much into Little not being able to beat out our other tackles last year. He was a rookie competing against veterans. He hadn't played a game in two years, so he was likely rusty as well. In regards specifically to not beating Taylor, my understanding is that Walker Little played exclusively at left tackle in college. As such, it's understandable that he might initially struggle at a position that he had never played before. It's also unclear to me whether he was even given a chance to compete at right tackle. Being a college left tackle, they might have focused his practice time in camp primarily at left tackle to be Cam's backup and assumed Richardson would be the primary backup at right. Lastly, our coaching was so bad last year, I really don't trust their opinion at all. They started Wingard over the freshman Cisco even though Cisco clearly looked better. They gave Hyde a bunch of carries, including goal line situations, over Robinson which made no sense. We're talking about a coaching staff that had Trevor Lawrence splitting first team snaps with Gardner Minshew. Their opinion doesn't hold much weight with me. I want a second opinion. Lastly, you seem concerned that if we don't use the #1 overall pick on offense, that our offense won't get better. I disagree. As I stated before, I would likely use at least 3 and maybe 4 of our picks in the 2-4 rounds on offense. Good interior offense line players often drop to those rounds. There appears to be a lot of wide receivers and tight ends mocked in that range as well. Right tackle is a little more iffy, but it wouldn't be surprising to find one of those either. We also have a ton of money in free agency which I would focus on offense. We can make major upgrades on offense without necessarily having to use the #1 overall pick. I wouldn't oppose using the #1 pick on offense if it made sense, but in this case, I believe the options at edge make more sense.
(02-23-2022, 08:38 PM)Bullseye Wrote:(02-23-2022, 07:48 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: Two great posts there ^ Really well thought out and well written.You, me, and TheDuke. The AOL message boards live on! Too bad HaCJax passed on. Do you know if any other former AOL posters are here? All we need is a team good enough to where we can run some smack and to smack around some Steelers fans, and we'll be all set. I did really like the AOL board. We had a good group of users and had some classic debates. There are some good people on here, but there are also some that seem to have trouble following a logical argument and others who seem to be more interested in attacking and insulting instead of discussing and debating. Was OLM on the AOL board under a different name? His messages have an uncanny resemblance to one of the users. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
(02-27-2022, 12:42 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote:(02-23-2022, 08:38 PM)Bullseye Wrote: You, me, and TheDuke. The AOL message boards live on! Too bad HaCJax passed on. Do you know if any other former AOL posters are here? All we need is a team good enough to where we can run some smack and to smack around some Steelers fans, and we'll be all set. No. I live in a very rural area and my AOL was very limited. When I had AOL, I could barely get online. I've been on this board for a long time, but not that long. LOL.
(02-24-2022, 08:23 PM)Upper Wrote:(02-24-2022, 10:09 AM)RicoTx Wrote: I think they take him. Just gut feel. I don't know if it's the right or wrong move. I think the problem this year, there is no clear-cut #1. I agree. I read mock drafts and find it frustrating that many go as follows: 1. Jacksonville - Evan Neal - The Jaguars drafted Trevor Lawrence last year and now get him needed protection. 2. Detroit - [Hutchinson or Thibodeaux] - The Lions get the best player in the draft....... (02-27-2022, 12:58 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote:(02-24-2022, 08:23 PM)Upper Wrote: I think at this point, barring any official athletic testing, that the top 2 would still be Thibs and Hutch if everyone wasn't hellbent on Trevor needs help Trevor needs help Trevor needs help. I think that's driving virtually all of the OT at 1 talk. Lol, exactly how it goes.
02-27-2022, 03:00 PM
(This post was last modified: 02-27-2022, 03:01 PM by The Real Marty. Edited 1 time in total.)
(02-27-2022, 12:58 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote:(02-24-2022, 08:23 PM)Upper Wrote: I think at this point, barring any official athletic testing, that the top 2 would still be Thibs and Hutch if everyone wasn't hellbent on Trevor needs help Trevor needs help Trevor needs help. I think that's driving virtually all of the OT at 1 talk. Protection? How easy is it to protect your QB when you're 10 points down in the 1st quarter? How easy would it be for Neal to block a pass rush when the defense knows we're going to pass because our defense can't stop the other team? That's why I keep saying over and over, our defense can protect our QB just as well as a new LT can. It's completely bogus to imply that the only way to protect Trevor is to spend our first overall pick on a LT. An improved defense would keep us in games, thereby allowing us to use the whole playbook on offense, so we won't be forced into passing on every down. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
(02-27-2022, 06:07 PM)StrayaJag Wrote: https://jaguarswire.usatoday.com/2022/02...er-report/ If we take Neal, we've blown yet another first round pick. He's not even close to being the BAP in the draft. (02-27-2022, 06:51 PM)TheO-LineMatters Wrote:(02-27-2022, 06:07 PM)StrayaJag Wrote: https://jaguarswire.usatoday.com/2022/02...er-report/ Yea its a tough 1 ay I cant really put myself in baalkes or pedersons shoes this year to predict who they will go with at 1
I don't think Neal is a blown pick. I think he'll be good to very good. In fact he'll probably be overkill for what Trevor needs to succeed with.
I think OT is not as premium of a position as pass rusher is, and I also think we have a good in house candidate to fix our bad OT by tagging Cam. We're creating a hole by letting Cam walk, and then filling it with the most valuable asset we have this offseason. That is not a good way to team build. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
(02-27-2022, 09:22 PM)Upper Wrote: I don't think Neal is a blown pick. I think he'll be good to very good. In fact he'll probably be overkill for what Trevor needs to succeed with. I see Neal as a slightly above average RT and a slightly below average to average LT.
02-28-2022, 06:16 AM
(This post was last modified: 02-28-2022, 06:47 AM by The Real Marty. Edited 1 time in total.)
(02-27-2022, 12:42 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote:(02-23-2022, 08:38 PM)Bullseye Wrote: You, me, and TheDuke. The AOL message boards live on! Too bad HaCJax passed on. Do you know if any other former AOL posters are here? All we need is a team good enough to where we can run some smack and to smack around some Steelers fans, and we'll be all set. My memory of the AOL board was that defending TC in 1996 was often a very lonely job. But I thought that somehow, if I didn't defend TC, the franchise would collapse and the world would end. 27 years later, I no longer have the energy or motivation to write those long posts I used to write. Kudos to Bullseye and others like him who post some of the best analysis on the internet. I also remember when AOL charged by the minute. I was so addicted to those AOL boards that I was running up $200 monthly AOL charges. |
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