(12-08-2020, 07:32 PM)SeldomRite Wrote:

(12-08-2020, 07:24 PM)mikesez Wrote: It is, but trading and choosing free agents is not.

The first step to getting personnel right is correctly evaluating personnel. The Jaguars either have continually failed to do that, or ignored quality and value in favor of filling roster spots with inferior players. Whatever the problem has been, ranking players correctly according to ability is critical.

Agreed. 

But there are a few reasons you're never going to find a GM who admits he just goes with what the crowd wants.
It would be dumb for a GM to telegraph his preferences like that. it would ruin his ability to bargain with the other GMs.

Then you have the problem where the fans become aware of their own power, like pro bowl voting.  Newer and more casual fans would be attracted to the discussion, and would steer it based on their favorite college team, rather than a sincere talent evaluation. A sociologist might call this Campbell's law.

In any case, it is possible to evaluate personell better than the crowd does.
Just like it is possible to win some games in vegas, if you are consistently smarter or have better information than the other bettors. 

But if you're going to be one of the 32 general managers in the NFL, you have to believe that you're better at evaluating personnel than the mass of unpaid fans.

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