(07-12-2022, 10:25 PM)OzJohnnie Wrote:

(04-11-2022, 01:22 AM)OzJohnnie Wrote: I’ll bookmark here: I think he will bust.  He’ll be a backup in two seasons.

While he’s got an extremely powerful arm, he can’t read defences to save himself, his footwork is atrocious (perhaps his strong arm handicapping foot development), he has poor pocket discipline and he has almost no ball-throwing finesse, ie soft passes and placement.  It’s possible that the new QB coach can pack TL full of wisdom that he has’t yet acquired.  And it’s further possible that the line might be able to give him half a beat more time, reducing his need to read plays and keep him from fleeing the pocket early with crazy feet.  But I don’t think so. I think his improvement in the fundamentals of QB skills will be marginal.

Here’s to hoping I’m wrong and seeing you all rub it in my face.  Good luck, Trev.

My take.  Let’s see if I’m proven wrong.  But I suspect we’ll be trading for a veteran to “mentor” TL before the Nov 1 trading deadline (week 8 is the last week to trade).

I mentioned the following in another thread: Hopefully Pederson can iron that out, and I think he has to be a success with the Jaguars.  My concern with Pederson is that he has to turn Lawrence into a Nick Foles type of QB.  A guy that can run his offense, but becomes very readable after a season or a few games for the NFL defenses.

Thought I would expand on the above, with a reference to the Tedford Factor.  Jeff Tedford QBs in college were taught a system that limited their ability to read the defense across the whole field post-snap, narrowing or eliminating their window to find open off-script receivers.  In college the QB system worked great, getting 5 Tedford QBs selected highly in the NFL draft, only to find that their ability to read the field in an NFL offense were lacking.  

This was my concern in the previous post, and something I thought was relevant to the Jags (having traded for Nick Foles.)  If Pederson has to continually simplify the offense to fit Trevor Lawrence's skill set (or lack there of) he may get some increases in production, but for a short time.  NFL defenses will be able to solve the pre-read play calling.  I would say that in the NFL off-script plays are a necessity, which is why QBs like Mahomes and Josh Allen are so successful.

On the flip side, the article I posted was about Aaron Rodgers who was the 6th Tedford QB.  After sitting on the bench for 3 years and learning the NFL offense requirements, he was able to overcome the system he learned from Jeff Tedford.

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