(02-27-2023, 12:16 PM)VillagerChris Wrote: Engram is replaceable.

All of our skill positions are going to play well under Pederson and Lawrence.

Kirk, Jones and Ridley are tying up a lot of money in the receiving room.

With so many weapons plus Ridley, Engrams targets/production is sure to drop a bit and that's not going to be his fault. At best he gives us a similar season.

Why pay Engram 13-15m per year when you can draft a top tier TE at 1/24 and only pay 2.5m for the season?

Any TE taken at 24, be it Musgrave, Kincaid, Meyer.. maybe even Washington, will thrive under Pederson's offense with Trevor throwing the ball. They will cost 1/5th of what Engram will cost.

There's the shiny thing in front of you... and then there's the "big picture".

While what your saying makes perfect sense, it relies on four big assumptions. 

(1. Pederson will get productivity from nearly anyone at a skill position
2.Engrams numbers will drop/Assumption of some fictional ceiling 
3.A TE worthy of the pick will be available at 24
4. That TE will produce 700 yds and 5 TDs in year one)

The sketchiest of which is a reliance on a rookie to match (or come close) to Engram's 2022 production. 

Many don't feel as comfortable assuming all of those things as you do. 

Based on the comments from the Jags GM, staff, and Engram himself, the team's overall position on the matter is not to be as comfortable with those assumptions as you are as well. 

Then there's the whole "continuity" thing between a QB and a receiving target each entering year two in a good system. 
It usually gets better in year two. 

Ridley won't detract from that IMO. He'll simply boost the productivity of receptions from the Z receiver position. That doesn't necessarily mean fewer targets for the move TE.

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