(09-09-2022, 08:34 AM)HandsomeRob86 Wrote: [ -> ] (09-06-2022, 09:54 AM)imtheblkranger Wrote: [ -> ]That and his dad's first hand insight.
Honestly wolfie, we could win the SB and you'd still have so much PTSD from the bad years you wouldn't believe it. Which isn't unfair, many of us will have that "waiting for the other shoe to drop #bcjaguars" feeling for a long time after we eventually become good again.
There is no real reason to be overly optimistic. We should be better than last year, but not that much better and we were the worst team in the league.
The Jaguars' wins last year came against teams with a winning record.
The problem the team had wasn't that it had no talent (though the talent at some positions got really thin after some injuries) the problem the team had was bad leadership. You could see it when they came out against the texans in week one and were completely unprepared to play an NFL game.
With a good coach last year they would have definitely won more games, and with the talent and coaching improvements this year as long as injuries don't completely sink the team we should expect major improvement.
(09-06-2022, 11:51 AM)HURRICANE!!! Wrote: [ -> ]I'll go 6 wins simply because we're in the AFC South and we also face the NFC East which is also pretty bad.
I think we're going to see Trevor win 2 games alone using his feet .... running for 1st downs like Andrew Luck used to do.
FIND YOUR PREDICTION AND "REPLY" TO YOUR OWN THREAD TO PROVIDE YOUR UPDATED WIN PREDICTION AND RATIONALE IN RED (AS SHOWN BELOW):
I'll stick with 6 wins as originally predicted but would be leaning more toward 5 if I had to do a +/- 1
(09-02-2022, 07:13 AM)wg171 Wrote: [ -> ]If relatively healthy I’ll guess 6 wins with a chance at 7.
If they can’t run the ball and win time of possession things could get ugly. The O-Line must step up for the backs and get some consistent push.
Sticking with 6
But if the O-Line can’t protect Trevor better all bets for 6 are off
I had us at at least 7 wins this year and not ready to change that. We’ll beat someone we’re not supposed to.
It’s hard for a week 2 game to be must win, but this feels like it considering the likely difficulty of the week 3 and 4 opponents and the prospects of starting 0-4. I still think we have a legitimate shot at the division title, but that will probably change if we lose next week. This division is weak though.
I haven't seen anything yet to change my opinion. I'm too old to jerk my knees around too much.
(09-06-2022, 09:11 AM)snowwolf776 Wrote: [ -> ]this is a 4 to 5 win team thats the celing. no way Jags win more then 5 games. I wouldn't be surpised if jags ended up only winning 1 or 2 games this season with 1 being in London.
Culture can't change overnight, loseing takes time to get over. Team might be better yes,but still not winners yet. Your a loseing team until you prove otherwise.
I stand by this.
(09-02-2022, 04:26 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: [ -> ]I see the Jaguars as a 6 to 8 win team. I break down the schedule into two groups.
Group A (5 Games): Teams that won four or less games last year.
Group B (12 Games): Teams that won between seven and twelve games last year.
I think we win 3 or 4 games from Group A and 3 or 4 games from Group B as upsets happen. We had 3 upsets last year and I think our improved roster will keep us in more games this year. This puts us in the 6 to 8 wins range. I'll split the difference and predict 7 wins.
I stand by my prediction.
I still feel 3-2 is a fair prediction against the weak teams in Group A. As for Group B, one game is in the books, but I feel a 4-7 record in the remaining games is a good guess. Yesterday's game didn't change much for me.
(09-12-2022, 05:28 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: [ -> ] (09-02-2022, 04:26 PM)TheDuke007 Wrote: [ -> ]I see the Jaguars as a 6 to 8 win team. I break down the schedule into two groups.
Group A (5 Games): Teams that won four or less games last year.
Group B (12 Games): Teams that won between seven and twelve games last year.
I think we win 3 or 4 games from Group A and 3 or 4 games from Group B as upsets happen. We had 3 upsets last year and I think our improved roster will keep us in more games this year. This puts us in the 6 to 8 wins range. I'll split the difference and predict 7 wins.
I stand by my prediction.
I still feel 3-2 is a fair prediction against the weak teams in Group A. As for Group B, one game is in the books, but I feel a 4-7 record in the remaining games is a good guess. Yesterday's game didn't change much for me.
I didn't see this originally but I do like the thought process that went into this.
Based on our current record thru week 5, and now having a better idea of how other teams are faring, how does our remaining schedule stack up?
@Colts: L Colts get their revenge at home.
Giants: L GMen do not appear to be a fluke. 2018 Barkley is back. We may get rolled here.
Broncos: W Battle of the field goal kickers.
Raiders: L Our self-sabotaging offense can't keep up with Carr.
@Chiefs: L Self-explanatory. Out-played/coached in all phases.
Ravens: L See above re. KC
@Lions: L Lions score enough to win.
@Titans: L We get rackrolled.
Cowboys: L Cooper Rush shows that you can win in this league with not very many starts under your belt.
@Jets: L Wilson outplays Lawrence.
@Texans: L Because 0 for 9.
Titans: W a W only if the Titans are resting starters for the playoffs.
This results in a grand total of 3-4 wins. Will that get us the #1 pick for the 3rd straight year? Prob not, but we'll be in the top 5. 2023 is purported to be a good QB class.
Your thoughts welcome.
(09-10-2022, 02:45 PM)ChrisJagBoy Wrote: [ -> ]Im expecting us to lose by double digits, i expect Lawrence to contribute to at least 2 turnovers and continue playing like a poverty qb at least for the first few weeks. Hes not going to miraculously go from being awful to good overnight. If lawrence is to take that step and become a top tier qb id expect it to be closer to week 5 or 6.. onces hes adjusted to the new scheme and wrs.
But hey, im just hating as im sure someone will point out.. and when it happens exactly as iv said this post will be ignored
Just wanted to point this masterpiece out for general consumption.
I've regressed into my default Jags fan mode of expecting a loss of every game. Any wins are considered a fluky streak of luck.
I was starting to come out of my shell, but that game reinitiated my Post Jaguars Stress Disorder. I'm back in counseling along with a heavier dose of mood altering drugs.
(09-12-2022, 12:00 PM)snowwolf776 Wrote: [ -> ] (09-06-2022, 09:11 AM)snowwolf776 Wrote: [ -> ]this is a 4 to 5 win team thats the celing. no way Jags win more then 5 games. I wouldn't be surpised if jags ended up only winning 1 or 2 games this season with 1 being in London.
Culture can't change overnight, loseing takes time to get over. Team might be better yes,but still not winners yet. Your a loseing team until you prove otherwise.
I stand by this.
even though i don''t think jags can win another game on thier own, 2 teams will fall apart,and give us gift games. with that being said i stand by what i orgainglay said. this is a 4 to 5 win team.
(10-09-2022, 09:15 PM)flsprtsgod Wrote: [ -> ] (09-10-2022, 02:45 PM)ChrisJagBoy Wrote: [ -> ]Im expecting us to lose by double digits, i expect Lawrence to contribute to at least 2 turnovers and continue playing like a poverty qb at least for the first few weeks. Hes not going to miraculously go from being awful to good overnight. If lawrence is to take that step and become a top tier qb id expect it to be closer to week 5 or 6.. onces hes adjusted to the new scheme and wrs.
But hey, im just hating as im sure someone will point out.. and when it happens exactly as iv said this post will be ignored
Just wanted to point this masterpiece out for general consumption.
Lmfao
I started at 7 wins, went up to 9 wins after the Charger game, and now I'm back down to 7 wins.
I sincerely hope that what we are seeing is just inconsistency.
I've gone from thinking 8 or 9 wins to thinking 4 or 5. NFL defensive coordinators have figured out that playing to make Lawrence beat you has a high chance of success.
(10-10-2022, 07:23 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]I started at 7 wins, went up to 9 wins after the Charger game, and now I'm back down to 7 wins.
I sincerely hope that what we are seeing is just inconsistency.
I think so. This is still a ridiculously young team and needs to learn. It sucks though. I think we all got a little too high after the Chargers game, but I think we're getting a little too low after this one.
It's never as good as it seems and never (usually) as bad as it seems.
(10-10-2022, 07:57 AM)imtheblkranger Wrote: [ -> ] (10-10-2022, 07:23 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ]I started at 7 wins, went up to 9 wins after the Charger game, and now I'm back down to 7 wins.
I sincerely hope that what we are seeing is just inconsistency.
I think so. This is still a ridiculously young team and needs to learn. It sucks though. I think we all got a little too high after the Chargers game, but I think we're getting a little too low after this one.
It's never as good as it seems and never (usually) not as bad as it seems.
"It's never as good as it seems and
never not as bad as it seems" pretty much sums it up right now.
(10-10-2022, 08:00 AM)The Real Marty Wrote: [ -> ] (10-10-2022, 07:57 AM)imtheblkranger Wrote: [ -> ]I think so. This is still a ridiculously young team and needs to learn. It sucks though. I think we all got a little too high after the Chargers game, but I think we're getting a little too low after this one.
It's never as good as it seems and never (usually) not as bad as it seems.
"It's never as good as it seems and never not as bad as it seems" pretty much sums it up right now.
That's what I get for typing replies between calls at work lol