This game feels like a 27-20 victory for the Jags if they simply eliminate most of the dumb mistakes they made in the first matchup between these teams.

Wider margin if they play virtually mistake free ball.

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(11-24-2023, 10:11 PM)cland Wrote:

(11-24-2023, 07:21 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: Sure you can

The odds of the tinhorns getting lucky by Ridley dropping a TD and 8 Jags special teams players whiffing on stopping a kick return are astronomically low though. 

The game was an outlier poor performance from a Jags squad that has looked miles better in several games against better teams than the Houston squad. In case you missed the point.

Doesn't the 'Texans having 4 of their 5 starting lineman out for the game' stack on your astronomically low chart?  And even if you change those plays, you're still 7 points from winning...assuming you've stopped the Texans from scoring a TD instead of the return TD.  I just think "hypothetically" removing plays while analyzing a game doesn't get you much.

Yeah - I understood your point the first time. 

I'm not removing plays as much as looking at 6 games this year in which the Jags didn't shoot themselves in the foot that way and expecting that type of performance. 

The Jags moved the ball for over 400 yards against the tinhorns but failed to turn that into points.

I don't think they'll do that again. 

We'll see if you get a mistake prone Jags opponent again and how it affects the game if you don't. 
My money is on it looking very different from the first skirmish.

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