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What does that draft say to you?
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(04-30-2023, 10:26 AM)NYC4jags Wrote:(04-30-2023, 10:23 AM)RicoTx Wrote: About where I am. Some of these flyers are going to have to stick. Do you get the sense that people don't want to work with Baalke? Or maybe he just doesn't have a great understanding of how to value picks? We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (04-30-2023, 10:26 AM)NYC4jags Wrote:Agreed with you and Rico. It's the 88th, 121st and 208th picks. Bigsby, Miller and Hallett that will be interesting to watch this summer.(04-30-2023, 10:23 AM)RicoTx Wrote: About where I am. Some of these flyers are going to have to stick. I think Bigsby is automatically safe because of the value there but as Yoda said. If he's not the clear #2 back in this offense? It's a massive fail. Even then? It's a fail on a surface level because you could have landed a more viable starter with more snap counts. The Miller choice. Again. I need to know what the long term plans are now with Lloyd. Is he moving outside to rush the passer or what? Even then. He's the 3rd ILB behind Oluokon and Muma for a few years. Hallett was overkill for me. I know it's nit picky considering the round, but, you pulled Johnson and Braswell already for the secondary with Wingard extended and Jenkins still under contract. I wanted Kuntz at TE. To make up for bypassing on Washington. Kuntz is not the blocker type. Which is fine. Strange fits that role more anyway. BUT, we just have Engram, Strange and Farrell in the TE room. Kuntz or even Willis, who the 49ers picked up late would have been interesting fits to this offense and potentially 3rd string/4th string pieces. Writing that out though? They DID take Parish at FB. So, maybe you don't need four tight ends active anymore on gamedays. That's fair. ![]() Sent from my SM-S906U using Tapatalk ![]() "What do I know of cultured ways, the gilt, the craft and the lie? I, who was born in a naked land and bred in the open sky. The subtle tongue, the sophist guile, they fail when the broadswords sing; Rush in and die, dogs - I was a man before I was a king."
What does it say to me?
Analysis of individual picks aside, it say to me that there is not a list of good relationships for trade partners. I don’t believe that Baalke maximized return value on some of these trades and was unable to move up with the ammunition acquired in the trade backs. Truthfully, I believe the plan was to trade back and save money based on the draft position of the players wanted in the early rounds, and use those savings to afford the contract of player(s) to be traded up for in Round 3. With the inability to trade up materializing, Baalke was forced to use the pick accumulated (aside from the one 4th which was traded for a 4th next year), the lack of due diligence on late round players became apparent. Time will tell if this draft turns out to have been a win for us, but I’m not overly excited based on surface value. Hopefully I have a lot of crow to eat based on my opinion. (04-29-2023, 11:48 PM)JagFanatic24 Wrote:(04-29-2023, 08:21 PM)OG-JAGFAN Wrote: My take. Love your positivity. Hope you are right about the picks.
(04-29-2023, 11:48 PM)JagFanatic24 Wrote:(04-29-2023, 08:21 PM)OG-JAGFAN Wrote: My take. You never fail ![]() ![]() ![]() Just like the good old "Collin Johnson will be a super star" "Schenault is more explosive than Tyreek Hill" I am a fan, not a cheerleader. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today!
The draft tells me that Trent and Doug are pretty happy with most of the starters they have returning. Good veteran teams typically don’t start a slew of rookies. They have 1 or 2 rookies starting while the rest are rotational/developmental players who are groomed for possible starting roles. Our QB question has been answered. It’s now time to put pieces around him at a good value and chase a title.
Jaguars Fundamentalist
04-30-2023, 12:21 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-30-2023, 12:22 PM by homebiscuit. Edited 1 time in total.)
The draft strategy of trading up with extra picks didn't work out but we're not walking away with a bunch of basket cases. Our red zone offense just got better, and we now have some depth at D. Baalke took a gamble and it didn't work out, however, we're not walking away from the table flat broke. We picked up some value.
https://twitter.com/robertkempjr1/status...915L-t18Xg
It’s tells me that barring injury, Cam will never play LT for the Jags again.
Just out of interest, everyone going on about not trading back into the 3rd? I'm interested to know what exactly you're expecting to give up?
I scrolled through all the trades done and the cast majority were late round picks to move up 3-5 spaces so you'd still lose the 3rd round pick? Is the idea that we should've traded up to the top of the 3rd and gave up our 3rd? Or are you expecting an extra 3rd? We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (04-30-2023, 12:39 PM)wassy04 Wrote: Just out of interest, everyone going on about not trading back into the 3rd? I'm interested to know what exactly you're expecting to give up? There are a ton of pick value charts out there. They had ammunition to get back into the third by packaging two fourths and a sixth - and a number of scenarios to get back into the 4th Baalke admittedly tried and failed to make it happen. It's a tough break. Wasted value on players of low probability to make the team.
Not enough info to definitively say much yet other than they viewed RB as a greater need than most and in retrospect I agree with them that it is/was.
Trading back up takes more than just having adequate/fair trade comp to give. It takes a willing trade partner and there are a lot of things can affect willingness at a given point in the draft. With Baalke being forthcoming on trying to trade up, it does make you wonder who they might’ve missed out on that they wanted though. (04-30-2023, 10:22 AM)Rockman1966 Wrote:(04-29-2023, 11:48 PM)JagFanatic24 Wrote: I would like to personally thank you for well thought out post. I have the same thoughts. It was a preseason game. I was there. (04-30-2023, 12:45 PM)NYC4jags Wrote:(04-30-2023, 12:39 PM)wassy04 Wrote: Just out of interest, everyone going on about not trading back into the 3rd? I'm interested to know what exactly you're expecting to give up? I know in theory you could offer value but that doesn't mean there's a bunch of teams willing to do it. If everyone is aware there isn't value further down it implies the teams value the 6/7ths even lower than the models. There's not many if any examples this year of teams trading into the 3rd round from miles back. o No. 56 overall (Round 2) 340 o No. 88 overall (Round 3) 150 o No. 121 overall (Round 4) 52 o No. 127 overall (Round 4) 45 o No. 130 overall (Round 4) 42 o No. 160 overall (Round 5) 28 o No. 185 overall (Round 6) 18 o No. 202 overall (Round 6) 11 o No. 208 overall (Round 6) 9 o No. 226 overall (Round 7) 3 o No. 240 overall (Round 7) 1 So if we wanted to make an approximately fair offer, we're saying we'd need all three 4ths just to get into round 3 again. Worth it? Were we really willing to give up that much and were other teams still not interested. Obviously none of us know but you can get an idea of how difficult it is to try and create another 3rd rounder without giving up your own one. We could've gone up from 88, 10-15 places perhaps but would've likely been giving up a lot still. I kind of think taking a bunch of dart throws/role players is a better strategy personally. We show less advertisements to registered users. Accounts are free; join today! (04-30-2023, 02:30 PM)wassy04 Wrote:(04-30-2023, 12:45 PM)NYC4jags Wrote: There are a ton of pick value charts out there. It was a gamble by Baalke and it didn't pay off. I don't put it 100% on the FO and staff they couldn't find a partner, but it is a failure at the end of the day. Baalke has now used a first, a third, a fifth and two sixths in three drafts at RB for a pass first team. That third rounder with ball security issues does need to pay off. We had greater needs. (04-30-2023, 01:58 PM)GaJag Wrote:(04-30-2023, 10:22 AM)Rockman1966 Wrote: The unrealized potential of Tavian Banks still haunts me. The devastating knee injury was the result of a completely unnecessary hit as he was going out of bounds against ATL. Might be wrong, think it was late in a preseason game. Absolutely NOT a preseason game. It happened in Atlanta. Eugene Robinson hit him on a totally unnecessary play out of bounds in a blowout win. So I don't know what or who you're thinking of. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/p...0/gamelog/ ![]()
(04-30-2023, 10:23 AM)RicoTx Wrote:(04-30-2023, 10:00 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: This draft, to me says: I agree. My theory is that Baalke had a "points chart" based upon prior drafts. However, every draft is different. In this one, I think teams favored earlier picks and put less points on later picks. As such, Baalke thought he was getting good value when he traded down and just assumed that his draft capital could easily be used later to trade up. When later came, he then realized that other teams wouldn't accept offers that Baalke's points chart said were fair. Teams expected more in return. If Baalke was smart, he would have adjusted his points chart on the fly and reacted to the market in front of him. He didn't. He thought teams willing to trade down were asking too much, so he just sat on a ridiculous number of late picks. This was a big mistake as this team desperately needed quality and not quantity.
04-30-2023, 04:10 PM
(This post was last modified: 05-24-2023, 11:15 AM by Bullseye. Edited 1 time in total.)
(04-29-2023, 08:21 PM)OG-JAGFAN Wrote: My take. The draft tells me a few things. 1. I think it would have gone differently had Cam Robinson not been suspended. I think the Jaguars still might have gone OL at some point in the draft, but I don't think it would have been top priority had the team not lost Jawaan Taylor in free agency AND Cam Robinson for 6 games. 2. This will be the first draft in a while, for us where we won't have a bunch of new and relatively immediate starters. I think for the first time in a while, I think the team didn't add many starters, but is still a decent draft because it HAS added quality depth at RB, WR, maybe TE, ILB, DL, but though I'm not entirely thrilled wih the draft in terms of number of immediate starters, I DO think we'll get some contributions from the players in this class. 3. One guy I think will end up a starter will be the SS out of Texas A & M, Antionio Johnson. If you were a proponent of drafting Alabama's Branch, I think you'll be happy with Johnson. There were some similar elements to Texas A & M's and Alabama's defense where Branch and Johnson had similar roles and responsibilities in the box. They produced similar big plays. If Johnson is utilized in the Jaguars defense in that way, I think Jaguars fans will be pleased with what they see out of him. 4. However, I am having a more difficult time envisioning the role for Yasir, Abdullah. In the speculation I have heard, he will have the role of a pass rusher but I don't see it. I saw some compared him with former Broncos edge rusher Elvis Dumervil. It would be great if we could get similar production out of him as Denver got out of a young Dumervil, and he seems to have a similar build. But it was hard for me to see how he was utilized in college translates into a dominant edge rusher based on what little I've seen in the clips of him. 5. Another player that excites me from this draft class is Penn State WR Parer Washington. When this draft season rolled around, WR was NOT particularly high in the priorities of most Jaguars fans, especially with the addition of former Falcons' WR Calvin Ridley. However, the late addition of Washington has the potential to be huge for the Jaguars. He has the ability to make the spectacular play, from catches to run after the catch. But it would seem he needs to improve his consistency. But I think he has good players around him from which to learn. In time, he could be a good WR. 6. I would bury the hatchet and re-sign Yannick Ngakoue. I didn't want him to leave in the first place. But hopefully now he has a better grasp of the market for his services. I still think he still has fuel in the tank and can still be a productive edge rusher. But even assuming all of the above is true, we will need more edge rush production from somewhere, whether it's Josh Allen, Abdullah, or even one of the earlier draft picks from years past. (04-30-2023, 03:26 PM)RicoTx Wrote:(04-30-2023, 01:58 PM)GaJag Wrote: It was a preseason game. I was there. The hit that ended Banks' career was NOT in the preseason, nor was it in Jacksonville. It was a regular season game in Atlanta (somewhere around the end of November/early December. Ray Buchanan delivered the hit that blew out Banks' knee, not Eugene Robinson. Worst to 1st. Curse Reversed!
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Trying to find the words without creating a five page disertation but I'll give it a go...
I think I would split the 'process' of how we drafted... and 'who' we drafted into two specific topics. In terms of the process i think it would be a fair comment that to a greater or lesser degree depending on your opinion we misjudged aspects of the draft or at least misread the room! It happens! But it is something we absolutely have to learn from, understand and improve for future years. To misquote my mother 'once is an accident, twice and I'll kick you down the stairs.' Fortunately the beauty of it is even the worst drafts can be rescued if your players go on the field and perform. I can't comment on a huge number of the guys we got as I haven't seen em play a down but I felt we did some sensible things (Harrison) (Kicking a fourth on to next year) and a few questionable things. But theyre our guys now and I hope each and every one of them knock it out of the park! The one thing I do hope with the prospects we did take is that Baalke and Pederson were on the same page especially over the first 4/5 rounds ... If those are players Pederson was keen on and feels he can use an envision within the system, (Strange and Johnson would perhaps be the example here) then I'm more than happy with that, ... Many sins can be covered as long as the coach and GM are in lockstep! And many disasters had if they arnt! Skirted a few issues which others have done a far better job breaking down, but until something else pops into my head those would probably be the main things of personally take away!
(04-30-2023, 11:10 AM)Khan Artist Wrote:(04-30-2023, 10:26 AM)NYC4jags Wrote: The failure to move back up really bit them in the backside With all due respect, I find you first question silly. If I was a GM, I'm going to do what I believe is in the best interest of the team. Do you really belive that if Baalke offers a trade that the GM likes, he's going to turn it down just because he doesn't like Baalke? Even if I hated another GM with a passion, I would accept the trade if it made sense for my team. It's not like the two GM's have to move in together and be roommates for a year. Baalke calls and says "Would you be willing to trade ______ for ____ and ______?" The other GM says "yes", "no" or makes a counteroffer. Why would they care about Baalke's personality? As stated in my previous post, I think Baalke made a points chart based upon prior drafts and was unwilling to change on the fly to the reality that other GM's viewed the depth with this particular draft differently. (04-30-2023, 12:33 PM)Cleatwood Wrote: https://twitter.com/robertkempjr1/status...915L-t18Xg Walker is good at left tackle. |
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