Quote:Granted the Panthers had more wins than us (6-10 in his first season), but they could have fired Ron Rivera in 2012 when they were 1-6 after week 8, or 2-8 after week 11, but they stuck with him and they finished the season 7-9, winning five of their last six games and they could have won the game they lost.
Some speculated he would be fired after 2012, but they stuck with him after they turned it around at the end of that season. But again the Panthers could have fired him after a slow start in 2013, they were 1-3 after week 5 and looking like they were goin to struggle. They stuck with Rivera and they went on an eight game winning streak, and finished their season 12-4.
Fast forward to last season, they started ok at 3-2-1 at the end of week six, but they ended up going on a six game losing streak. Again, they could have been justified firing Rivera, instead they gave the team stability and kept him in charge and they finished their season 7-8-1, won their division for the second consecutive time, and won a game in the play offs.
The primary difference there is that Ron Rivera has kept his teams competitive - even when they're losing. As empirical evidence for that, I point to the point spread. I know that coaches and casual fans don't care about point spreads. And if I was the fan of a winning team, I wouldn't care either. But when your team is losing, it's a great way to give an honest assessment of a team's performance
relative to reasonable expectations. If your team is losing - but beating the point spread - at least you can say that they are keeping games closer than neutral observers would expect. That's a strong argument for keeping the head coach.
In 2011, when Rivera went 6-10, they were 9-7 against the spread (ATS). In 2012, when they were 7-9, they went 9-7 ATS. Last year, even though a 7-8-1 record was disappointing, they were 8-8 ATS. So even when Rivera's teams have been dropping games, they are keeping games closer than expected.
Bradley can point to no such competitiveness from his teams. In 2013, we were 5-10-1 ATS. In 2014, we were 6-9-1 ATS. You think we're more competitive this year? We're 2-4 ATS so far. In other words, he doesn't just lose frequently, but he can't even beat the extremely meager expectations that a neutral betting public would put on the team.
I can hear people whining as they read this, "But, but, but! Bradley had to start from nothing! His first two teams were horrible!" Yeah, and that's why Vegas gave us a TON of points in every game we played. And we still couldn't meet those low, low expectations. We were getting 19.5 points against Seattle, and we still couldn't cover the spread. We couldn't cover 11 against St. Louis, 16 against San Francisco, 9.5 against Arizona, 11 against Indianapolis, 10 against Philadelphia, 13 against San Diego, 13 against Indianapolis, or 14.5 against New England. Bradley's teams can't even keep pace with the neutral observations of the non-fans.
Even this year, with our improved passing game, and mildly-improved blocking, we are still laying eggs. There is no excuse for allowing New England to hang 51 on you. I don't care if they're the best in the league. NFL games are supposed to be
close (e.g. "any given Sunday..."). There is no excuse for allowing Old Man Hasselbeck to sling the ball all over the field on you. There is no excuse for making Jameis Winston look like David Garrard a la 2007. And last weekend's game?
We were favorites. Hoyer is garbage. It's not anywhere near sufficient to say that we were leading going into the fourth quarter.